Serie A · resolved market
Cagliari Calcio vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a80a3e54492d8ca833a52728bf026a10752bfc7c0cd0572140028e8e3b83e96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85e2…0980backed No | 63c | 952.38$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Yes | 34c | 914.71$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.71 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 45c | 800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 55c | 703.72$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.05 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 462.7$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.84 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 54c | 443.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.76 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 46c | 406.82$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.99 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 44c | 365.24$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.11 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Yes | 44c | 229$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.24 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d3…a77bbacked No | 57c | 190.78$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e1…5924backed No | 10c | 151.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…8b97backed No | 51c | 126.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +163.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…d007backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.32per pick | 56cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 43c | 99.85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.74 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 46c | 63.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Yes | 44c | 54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked No | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed No | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed No | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Yes | 62c | 32.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7c…1214backed No | 56c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 43c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…81a9backed Yes | 59c | 28.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…ffcebacked No | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed No | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed No | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 55c | 23.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb847…4540backed Yes | 45c | 23.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed No | 56c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cagliari Calcio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5)Pisa SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.