La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x715204f781faa6ee03d40a4cb95e310775025a7d01ea5fc2f80e6ec2a915478b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,366 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb86f…da81backed No | 67c | 1,478$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 41c | 1,207$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 55c | 945.94$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.97 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 39c | 627.1$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.25 | 173 | 26.6%46 W · 127 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 33c | 588.79$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.93 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed No | 65c | 528.1$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.95 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 61c | 496.06$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.65 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked Yes | 44c | 479.29$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 35c | 355.63$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.03 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +14.7wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 64c | 282.01$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.12 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 63c | 249.15$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.51 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed No | 66c | 215.7$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Yes | 58c | 172.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 68cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 27c | 152$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 27c | 136.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb1…e0cbbacked Yes | 29c | 64.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f1…6f5cbacked Yes | 47c | 63.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Yes | 37c | 62.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ea…18e7backed Yes | 34c | 58.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed No | 65c | 45.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x658e…c395backed Yes | 38c | 42.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 30c | 41.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b7…be2cbacked Yes | 34c | 40.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…8b97backed No | 65c | 25.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…dba8backed Yes | 76c | 21.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x254c…7678backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 73c | 17.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?this page
- RC Celta de Vigo leading at halftime?No won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.