NHL · resolved market
Spread: Predators (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x754eefc03ebca235af5003a9cce32d45f869cca3e0dec6bf3acc5d9f9e7a9eae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blackhawksof Predators, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Predators | 31c | 4,201$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.71 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blackhawks | 68c | 1,805$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.46 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blackhawks | 69c | 862$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.94 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Blackhawks | 69c | 341$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.71 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Blackhawks | 70c | 200$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Predators | 30c | 189$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Blackhawks | 69c | 184$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Blackhawks | 69c | 115$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Blackhawks | 69c | 92$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Predators | 30c | 88.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Blackhawks | 69c | 68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Blackhawks | 69c | 68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…12d0backed Blackhawks | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Predators | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Predators | 29c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Blackhawks | 69c | 46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Blackhawks | 69c | 46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Predators | 26c | 44.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb4…166ebacked Blackhawks | 74c | 44.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Predators | 27c | 43.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…85bfbacked Blackhawks | 73c | 43.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Blackhawks | 69c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Blackhawks | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…64bbbacked Blackhawks | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Blackhawks | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Blackhawks | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Blackhawks | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Blackhawks | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 291 | 47.4%138 W · 153 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Blackhawks | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Blackhawks | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Blackhawks | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Blackhawks | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Blackhawks | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 175 | 52%91 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Blackhawks | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Blackhawks | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -12.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Blackhawks | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 189 | 46%87 W · 102 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Blackhawks | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Blackhawks | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…b051backed Blackhawks | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x244d…df47backed Blackhawks | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)this page
- Predators vs. BlackhawksPredators won
- Predators vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Predators vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Blackhawks (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.