NFL · resolved market
Bills vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3a8040acb7eaad81bb683dce8abb999921114c8a20003b745db93a8b8c23e3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Billsof Bills, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $167,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Cardinals | 28c | 11,012$3,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,073.36 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Bills | 73c | 9,160$6,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475.36 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e00…14ecbacked Cardinals | 74c | 6,850$5,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,085.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…2549backed Cardinals | 27c | 6,734$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.48 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Cardinals | 28c | 5,619$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.5 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Cardinals | 4c | 4,143$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.52 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Cardinals | 26c | 3,894$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.6 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc34…ff67backed Cardinals | 56c | 3,232$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.75 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0895…8273backed Bills | 65c | 3,054$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…da06backed Cardinals | 27c | 2,900$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.99 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Bills | 71c | 2,283$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.37 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…221dbacked Cardinals | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc109…1ad2backed Bills | 46c | 1,999$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.46 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Cardinals | 29c | 1,966$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.93 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…79eabacked Cardinals | 28c | 1,915$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Bills | 59c | 1,907$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.4 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Bills | 73c | 1,885$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.03 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Bills | 45c | 1,844$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.9 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Bills | 71c | 1,600$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.24 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Bills | 63c | 1,482$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.63 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Cardinals | 29c | 1,480$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.9 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…fac7backed Bills | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Cardinals | 28c | 1,388$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.64 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed Cardinals | 6c | 1,166$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +209.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…e05cbacked Cardinals | 29c | 1,159$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.42 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Cardinals | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…f2f6backed Cardinals | 31c | 1,000$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Bills | 75c | 1,000$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee3…1b0fbacked Cardinals | 26c | 960$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.6 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Bills | 71c | 870.39$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.05 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…365fbacked Bills | 61c | 819.99$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Bills | 60c | 715.02$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.99 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Bills | 73c | 699.98$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21fc…f3d2backed Bills | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…3746backed Bills | 74c | 639$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed Bills | 65c | 408.17$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.29 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Bills | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked Bills | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b03…65b0backed Bills | 56c | 400$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…fb64backed Bills | 68c | 303.12$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…0d2abacked Bills | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Cardinals | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Cardinals | 29c | 297.31$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1d…fcc4backed Bills | 74c | 291.47$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Cardinals | 12c | 286.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Cardinals | 29c | 286.27$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.93 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd6…27d3backed Cardinals | 24c | 281.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…9b19backed Bills | 49c | 267.01$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.18 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4975…c492backed Bills | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c3…ab95backed Cardinals | 25c | 259.91$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa672…095fbacked Cardinals | 20c | 251.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Cardinals | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Bills | 54c | 242.48$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.12 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec3…53a1backed Bills | 61c | 241.94$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.71 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Bills | 72c | 220$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Cardinals | 28c | 209.97$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7591…9829backed Cardinals | 28c | 209.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Bills | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Bills | 58c | 173$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.63 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…e186backed Cardinals | 26c | 156.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5697…cddfbacked Bills | 74c | 155.41$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5178…f7dcbacked Bills | 73c | 150.68$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa6…db6abacked Cardinals | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf168…5725backed Bills | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Cardinals | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c5…f001backed Cardinals | 55c | 106.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…d81fbacked Bills | 70c | 105.94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked Bills | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f7…d25abacked Cardinals | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Bills | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ed…4d6abacked Cardinals | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Cardinals | 28c | 90$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…ba37backed Cardinals | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…35a8backed Bills | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…7a25backed Bills | 70c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…ba78backed Cardinals | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Cardinals | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 28.4%38 W · 96 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea7…c4d0backed Bills | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…b801backed Bills | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…d25fbacked Bills | 65c | 58.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb11…15eebacked Bills | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Cardinals | 21c | 54.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 114 | 7.9%9 W · 105 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…9d14backed Bills | 73c | 53.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc999…3687backed Bills | 59c | 50.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Bills | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d97…d431backed Bills | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Cardinals | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e39…9ca2backed Cardinals | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Bills | 73c | 46.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Bills | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478c…1c81backed Bills | 73c | 36.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9a…2bfcbacked Cardinals | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…f0f2backed Bills | 75c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d43…d842backed Bills | 67c | 30.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…3f08backed Bills | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe395…3020backed Bills | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Bills | 74c | 22.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Bills | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed Bills | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…4cc3backed Bills | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.