TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Lions vs. Rams

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lionsof Lions, Rams
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$329,714
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$332,615

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,714 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x168a…130dbacked Lions73c29,394$21,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,793.692100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x741e…2f80backed Lions70c28,861$20,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,711.68933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Lions70c26,225$18,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,867.499949.5%49 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09af…d337backed Rams27c25,901$6,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,873.783357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a14…0762backed Rams48c18,532$8,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,932.8810239.2%40 W · 62 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Rams27c14,067$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,749.7132438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…e17ebacked Rams32c12,365$3,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,915.739240.2%37 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Lions34c10,730$3,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,078.3717823%41 W · 137 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75e0…fe50backed Rams17c9,845$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.110960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Rams30c7,403$2,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,220.8536246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed Rams29c6,513$1,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,914.443030%9 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid+81.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e1f…c855backed Rams33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6502657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0deb…2549backed Rams35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7502842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe91…70ffbacked Lions67c4,556$3,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,503.4513751.8%71 W · 66 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Lions48c3,581$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.2418645.7%85 W · 101 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Lions64c3,523$2,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.1925137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Rams30c3,377$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.864348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcede…f2f6backed Rams34c3,234$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.649022.2%20 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick23cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Rams33c2,909$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.0313942.4%59 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd31c…b93fbacked Lions66c2,734$1,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.561963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+40.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1eab…5692backed Rams26c2,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6601353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+56.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb33b…092fbacked Rams30c2,414$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.0940%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc16d…3e8dbacked Rams25c2,413$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3195…a94fbacked Lions26c2,380$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.993455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc417…3ca6backed Lions73c2,377$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.126050%30 W · 30 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5380…28debacked Rams27c2,321$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.37054.3%38 W · 32 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xed7c…da06backed Rams34c2,200$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7484634.8%16 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x08d6…b079backed Lions42c2,143$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+56.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Rams30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006844.1%30 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a20…101cbacked Lions2c1,750$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7151612.5%2 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick2cpaid+316.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x63dd…c15fbacked Rams31c1,566$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x182b…f022backed Rams35c1,555$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.1810246.1%47 W · 55 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf59e…39cfbacked Rams29c1,545$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.87847.4%37 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x024f…2ec0backed Rams25c1,369$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.161030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53b2…105abacked Lions70c1,363$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb27d…fc9cbacked Lions69c1,230$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.473060%18 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa34e…895ebacked Lions18c1,139$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.892630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Lions77c1,131$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.376944.9%31 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Rams8c1,100$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8912842.2%54 W · 74 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Rams28c1,097$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.1323937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Rams30c1,084$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.133328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb98…969dbacked Lions70c1,053$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.051241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-38.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb49…97a0backed Rams31c1,019$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3164339.5%17 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Lions67c1,014$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33514445.8%66 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d5…acd1backed Rams30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30023351.9%121 W · 112 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Rams29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29020246%93 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb7…05f6backed Rams20c947.52$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.2410144.6%45 W · 56 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Rams35c806.89$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.5411839%46 W · 72 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3c5…e38abacked Rams22c691.74$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.712152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Rams27c594.06$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.8612827.3%35 W · 93 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4124…fe54backed Lions76c593.35$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.354261.9%26 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a0d…8a97backed Rams12c574.09$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7591…9829backed Rams33c570.95$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.411947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6084…79c6backed Rams30c562.86$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1708855.7%49 W · 39 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Rams37c555$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.3520736.2%75 W · 132 L-13.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9c3…ab95backed Lions66c549.32$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.631735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb43…b10abacked Rams35c511.33$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.441136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b36…acebbacked Lions68c474.45$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.493256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a62…778ebacked Rams47c472.99$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.583650%18 W · 18 L+6.1wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+236.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfd13…e6f1backed Lions15c466$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.12114.3%3 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick6cpaid+209.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77cf…0e71backed Lions65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.543351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d80…ee8ebacked Lions44c428.97$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.531250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Rams24c410$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984454.5%24 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+29.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Rams26c375$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9913935.3%49 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb64f…0d2abacked Lions70c350$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24dc…7f5abacked Rams15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Rams15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503740.5%15 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f2…08fabacked Lions67c326.43$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x660f…ec30backed Rams31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006848.5%33 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb5…8b87backed Lions67c309.81$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.242951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked Lions72c300$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.518650.5%94 W · 92 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8ba…a286backed Rams35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053627.8%10 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9693…07c3backed Rams34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011949.6%59 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cd9…1095backed Lions54c256.52$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.143342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b0c…935dbacked Rams73c253.61$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.683141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Rams34c250$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855955.9%33 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab26…9656backed Lions65c250$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6db…c7ebbacked Lions66c245.87$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9193…c86cbacked Rams36c241.21$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.842857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe41a…a42dbacked Lions65c229.21$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.775036%18 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ce…c3abbacked Lions67c208.67$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.862142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x99ca…f9e6backed Rams19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Rams34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6833047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd94…0b01backed Rams13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2616139.1%63 W · 98 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa03b…c3f1backed Lions68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644852.1%25 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1130…f920backed Rams34c188.24$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645457.4%31 W · 23 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x891b…eee1backed Rams16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309151.6%47 W · 44 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01ee…9b19backed Lions61c180$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.91266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+57.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1180…8e39backed Lions67c180$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.41526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.3wins-0.29per pick56cpaid-54.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Rams29c180$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.29946.5%46 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb236…1d5dbacked Rams57c172.02$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.831625%4 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+81.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4e1…0b47backed Lions71c171$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.997459.5%44 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5697…cddfbacked Lions67c160.83$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.832871.4%20 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe916…4181backed Rams33c157.24$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.894052.5%21 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c36…52b9backed Rams78c154.02$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.83862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e6…9767backed Rams29c150$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.51553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ab7…3290backed Rams17c150$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick14cpaid+72.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcec3…53a1backed Lions68c146.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.942250%11 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc910…5e8dbacked Lions70c146.57$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.971553.3%8 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.21per pick32cpaid+53.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x24ac…6df6backed Lions70c143.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1919261.5%118 W · 74 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.