NFL · resolved market
Dolphins vs. Bills
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca4898518746987457d80d96f7531b918414f8b1b9d361e6d011461d07201be4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Billsof Dolphins, Bills
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $544,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $561,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $544,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 327 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Dolphins | 2c | 88,637$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.35 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Bills | 71c | 60,995$43,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,409.14 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Bills | 58c | 52,394$30,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,240.38 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Dolphins | 55c | 47,978$26,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,502.76 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Dolphins | 37c | 47,613$17,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,749.45 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Bills | 55c | 42,725$23,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,289.21 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Dolphins | 50c | 20,223$10,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,030.21 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked Dolphins | 44c | 15,777$6,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,922.51 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Dolphins | 47c | 14,878$7,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,035.79 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Bills | 52c | 11,832$6,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,672.47 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed6…e8aabacked Dolphins | 56c | 11,061$6,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,194.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…d337backed Dolphins | 56c | 8,733$4,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,890.08 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Dolphins | 56c | 7,321$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Dolphins | 4c | 6,797$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.31 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Bills | 51c | 6,607$3,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,241.1 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Dolphins | 36c | 5,920$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.1 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x501a…d46dbacked Dolphins | 47c | 4,451$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Dolphins | 56c | 4,366$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.74 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Dolphins | 51c | 4,146$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.26 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…cefbbacked Dolphins | 13c | 3,438$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.67 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…fac7backed Bills | 44c | 3,384$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4975…c492backed Bills | 66c | 2,642$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.35 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Dolphins | 11c | 2,613$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.78 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Dolphins | 21c | 2,400$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…36d4backed Dolphins | 56c | 2,273$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.88 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Bills | 63c | 2,178$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.41 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Bills | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed Dolphins | 1c | 1,985$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…b93fbacked Bills | 45c | 1,897$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.35 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Dolphins | 13c | 1,552$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.41 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaee3…1b0fbacked Dolphins | 35c | 1,500$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed Dolphins | 37c | 1,400$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Bills | 59c | 1,365$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.79 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Bills | 58c | 1,249$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.34 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Dolphins | 56c | 1,200$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.76 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Bills | 49c | 1,200$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Bills | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.61 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Bills | 45c | 1,184$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.39 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac34…2c89backed Bills | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x569e…67dbbacked Bills | 78c | 1,100$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…ba78backed Dolphins | 6c | 1,075$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c5…e38abacked Bills | 47c | 1,074$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.75 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked Dolphins | 59c | 1,017$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.37 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Dolphins | 36c | 1,000$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Dolphins | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…5a5dbacked Bills | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0616…0f99backed Dolphins | 22c | 1,000$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Bills | 66c | 972.22$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.22 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b17…96cbbacked Dolphins | 56c | 966.84$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…8a79backed Dolphins | 39c | 965.13$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Bills | 69c | 940.93$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.28 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…3ababacked Dolphins | 11c | 924.33$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.68 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Bills | 79c | 801.32$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.52 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed Bills | 44c | 784.01$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.05 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.46per pick | 42cpaid | +142.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Dolphins | 32c | 771.49$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.2 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Bills | 45c | 750$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…9b19backed Bills | 44c | 710.73$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.51 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Bills | 44c | 710.39$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.82 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…6b75backed Bills | 64c | 706.07$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7722…36d4backed Dolphins | 47c | 682.16$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…e314backed Bills | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…97a0backed Bills | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked Dolphins | 57c | 650$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b95…6141backed Dolphins | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Bills | 75c | 586.29$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.73 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e9…39b7backed Dolphins | 57c | 578.95$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…137cbacked Bills | 45c | 561$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f9…4252backed Dolphins | 16c | 558.7$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.79 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3959…a574backed Dolphins | 13c | 558.28$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.58 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Bills | 45c | 557.11$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.41 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…c5aebacked Dolphins | 57c | 556.79$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4404…c5b7backed Bills | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Dolphins | 56c | 550.06$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.04 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef5…1622backed Bills | 69c | 542.93$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.63 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Dolphins | 2c | 522.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd580…a0d5backed Bills | 44c | 509.09$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Bills | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -10.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…fc9cbacked Bills | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bills | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x442b…5410backed Bills | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed Bills | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…b063backed Bills | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2c…9965backed Bills | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a23…079fbacked Bills | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Dolphins | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Bills | 44c | 486.65$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.52 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c3…ab95backed Dolphins | 56c | 468.73$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.3 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…4feabacked Bills | 45c | 462.09$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.15 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9e…dde1backed Bills | 44c | 450$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a1…bababacked Dolphins | 57c | 435.32$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Dolphins | 47c | 430$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.7 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Bills | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Dolphins | 12c | 416.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…f920backed Bills | 45c | 415.56$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.56 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Bills | 57c | 400$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…2beabacked Dolphins | 19c | 375.84$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.41 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Dolphins | 56c | 374.95$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.97 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…fb64backed Bills | 74c | 370.49$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…321abacked Dolphins | 54c | 370$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…537abacked Bills | 45c | 336.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.84 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.