MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83fc0ca256bcf98f2bbb8e379291adf07203d1cbea8e6cdac282d45b6f7ca76a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Mets, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $234,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $246,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Padres | 55c | 32,570$17,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,707.35 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Mets | 41c | 25,568$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Mets | 45c | 22,196$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Padres | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Mets | 45c | 10,461$4,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,707.59 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Mets | 44c | 8,866$3,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,941.74 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Mets | 45c | 8,452$3,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,803.43 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Padres | 40c | 8,200$3,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,889.32 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c2…10cebacked Mets | 46c | 7,602$3,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,496.69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Padres | 46c | 7,451$3,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,025.63 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Mets | 45c | 6,500$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Padres | 55c | 5,309$2,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.6 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mets | 56c | 5,265$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961.27 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Padres | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.99 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Padres | 54c | 4,700$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 56c | 4,404$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.12 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Mets | 39c | 4,200$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.79 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 45c | 4,186$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.76 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Mets | 37c | 4,131$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.98 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mets | 45c | 2,746$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.7 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Padres | 76c | 2,506$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.15 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Padres | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Mets | 45c | 2,300$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Padres | 54c | 2,204$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.92 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…450bbacked Mets | 46c | 2,200$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Mets | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.98 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mets | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Mets | 66c | 1,937$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.89 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mets | 46c | 1,800$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Mets | 10c | 1,735$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.06 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Mets | 46c | 1,508$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.77 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Padres | 78c | 1,329$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.78 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Mets | 36c | 1,210$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.9 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Padres | 55c | 1,154$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.5 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mets | 48c | 1,115$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.77 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd503…ef93backed Mets | 31c | 1,029$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Mets | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Padres | 54c | 903.7$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.7 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Mets | 45c | 902$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.9 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…8d3cbacked Padres | 56c | 900$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mets | 48c | 875.05$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.02 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mets | 52c | 779.81$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.14 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…4d70backed Padres | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Mets | 45c | 669$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.05 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Mets | 62c | 663.53$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.39 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc640…0130backed Padres | 69c | 657.29$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Padres | 74c | 654.29$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.95 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Padres | 67c | 643.39$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.97 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434f…498ebacked Mets | 47c | 633.3$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mets | 45c | 589$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.05 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe63…4772backed Padres | 54c | 556.56$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.02 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c21cbacked Mets | 54c | 550.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Mets | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mets | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Padres | 27c | 487.07$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.56 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Padres | 64c | 461.59$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.12 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Padres | 38c | 448.01$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.88 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Padres | 53c | 431.09$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.61 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Padres | 36c | 412.05$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.71 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Padres | 54c | 409.59$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.76 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Padres | 74c | 405.18$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.56 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb662…8f55backed Padres | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa452…d1efbacked Padres | 80c | 394.84$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Padres | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Padres | 78c | 338.5$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.39 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Mets | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed Mets | 26c | 311$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.76 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Padres | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13f5…7049backed Mets | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mets | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mets | 46c | 299.98$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.49 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Mets | 49c | 288.86$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.64 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Padres | 64c | 261.17$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.12 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mets | 54c | 260$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.4 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Padres | 46c | 257.08$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.47 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Padres | 56c | 255.86$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.58 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Padres | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Mets | 45c | 248.84$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.98 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d6…1733backed Mets | 27c | 243.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Padres | 54c | 240.74$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.74 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd1…b023backed Mets | 15c | 233.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Padres | 56c | 224.5$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…df92backed Mets | 46c | 220.78$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.56 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Padres | 54c | 219.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.19 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4a…aa20backed Mets | 46c | 219$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Mets | 45c | 216.11$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Padres | 53c | 214$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.58 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Padres | 54c | 212.96$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Mets | 68c | 206$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.13 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…f15abacked Mets | 27c | 201.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Padres | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Padres | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Padres | 24c | 189$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.92 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…ca89backed Mets | 13c | 188.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 235 | 43.4%102 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mets | 25c | 185$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Mets | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Mets | 67c | 176.14$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.35 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Mets | 45c | 176$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.