TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

IEM Cologne: Natus Vincere vs. FaZe

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, FaZe
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,447
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,989

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,447 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf557…18debacked Natus Vincere53c15,018$8,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,992.114346.5%20 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Natus Vincere34c9,584$3,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,325.54257.1%24 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked FaZe45c7,573$3,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,395.556264.5%40 W · 22 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked FaZe48c4,363$2,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,094.19647.9%46 W · 50 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Natus Vincere58c3,899$2,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.4824440.6%99 W · 145 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a6f…4999backed FaZe48c3,267$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.314862.5%30 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed FaZe51c3,219$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655.5314846.6%69 W · 79 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked FaZe49c2,755$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3505048%24 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere54c2,619$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.091,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed FaZe44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10018650%93 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcff…9527backed Natus Vincere64c2,410$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.452853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed FaZe30c2,407$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.5910348.5%50 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked FaZe65c2,142$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.6716357.1%93 W · 70 L+14.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Natus Vincere52c2,002$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.2845848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked FaZe45c1,250$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56012328.5%35 W · 88 L-9.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed FaZe56c1,160$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked FaZe48c1,103$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.4216033.8%54 W · 106 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa856…3964backed FaZe49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022242.8%95 W · 127 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f78…68a4backed FaZe10c975.51$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.49854.7%4 W · 81 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick15cpaid-84.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0490…c717backed FaZe47c960.4$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed FaZe34c902.94$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.7675450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Natus Vincere57c884.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.5421251.4%109 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeec…aa69backed FaZe44c794.96$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.196842.6%29 W · 39 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…61bcbacked FaZe26c750$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19514239.4%56 W · 86 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b8f…bd32backed FaZe61c583.66$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.03966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda10…ffeabacked FaZe46c543.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509552.6%50 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc203…ffb8backed FaZe35c499.99$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.511646.6%54 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc559…ac69backed FaZe36c418.06$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502025%5 W · 15 L-4.9wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-55%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x087b…0de7backed Natus Vincere53c391.18$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.182343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed FaZe62c386.7$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.6856738.8%220 W · 347 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed FaZe47c360.51$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.174348.8%21 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked FaZe44c349.98$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.0924943.8%109 W · 140 L-1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9b0…4f5cbacked FaZe28c318.57$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.88736.8%32 W · 55 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Natus Vincere69c300$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949946.5%46 W · 53 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6789…ac37backed Natus Vincere33c290$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.3650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d17…b1fdbacked FaZe50c280.54$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404959.2%29 W · 20 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked FaZe40c280.52$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.793,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb09…0f04backed FaZe56c254.11$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.813223.5%31 W · 101 L-10.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Natus Vincere53c247.13$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.2214540.7%59 W · 86 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x40d5…bfe9backed Natus Vincere53c240.8$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.9963345.2%286 W · 347 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed FaZe48c214.58$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10313146.6%61 W · 70 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked FaZe49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011949.6%59 W · 60 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Natus Vincere56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3de…eea7backed Natus Vincere55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816253.2%33 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6966…7a8dbacked Natus Vincere33c161.83$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+44.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Natus Vincere57c142.61$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3246340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed Natus Vincere53c137.99$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8623351.5%120 W · 113 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed Natus Vincere49c135.04$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.277732.5%25 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7514…49bebacked Natus Vincere50c126.45$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4531758%184 W · 133 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed Natus Vincere71c118.86$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.773743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5a…7618backed FaZe47c107$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2912131.4%38 W · 83 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6d1…b785backed FaZe47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed FaZe49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023454.7%128 W · 106 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed FaZe57c102$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8410252%53 W · 49 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Natus Vincere55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc5f…8989backed FaZe48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick60cpaid-45%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked FaZe53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5310663.2%67 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7703…34b9backed FaZe48c99.83$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482544%11 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aed…e4f4backed Natus Vincere47c97$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.532774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Natus Vincere60c75.82$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3073658.2%428 W · 308 L-22.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Natus Vincere59c65$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.751,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed FaZe46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.65736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45e7…08ebbacked FaZe27c58$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.666723.9%16 W · 51 L-8.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-39.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa6c7…0b56backed FaZe47c55.14$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.678330.1%25 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed Natus Vincere53c55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.942057.1%240 W · 180 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecba…5fb4backed Natus Vincere55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5524554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf66a…9157backed FaZe79c49.66$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4410238.2%39 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9273…fcf8backed FaZe46c49.43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.742254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ffd…6c96backed FaZe48c45.83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3df5…b34abacked Natus Vincere55c43.49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.572544%11 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7314…9073backed FaZe49c40.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c4…fbf0backed FaZe43c40.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.444932.7%16 W · 33 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b3…5411backed FaZe49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206556.9%37 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50bc…63dabacked FaZe26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed FaZe49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.68247.6%39 W · 43 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked FaZe48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb58a…b840backed FaZe49c39.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.185949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Natus Vincere54c38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.483369.7%23 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed FaZe56c35.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024350.6%123 W · 120 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked FaZe46c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0582146.3%380 W · 441 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf043…61d9backed FaZe49c34.09$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38b8…5d35backed Natus Vincere44c34.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0236437.4%136 W · 228 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e6…67b5backed Natus Vincere54c33.65$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.483638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Natus Vincere75c32.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9714332.2%46 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c3f…676cbacked Natus Vincere55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2710261.8%63 W · 39 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c4a…5066backed FaZe46c26.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked Natus Vincere52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+32.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.