MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29bcccf56cd722095a67024f2a4f01625db3a0a640d80f15d4886a613d425a90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Cubs, White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $487,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $488,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $487,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed White Sox | 39c | 442,540$170,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170,647.38 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Cubs | 62c | 301,695$185,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116,044.1 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Cubs | 61c | 70,000$42,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,300 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cubs | 62c | 25,000$15,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,500 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Cubs | 61c | 20,000$12,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed White Sox | 38c | 13,622$5,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,176.45 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cubs | 62c | 11,500$7,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,410 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Cubs | 62c | 10,000$6,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,794.46 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed White Sox | 37c | 8,250$3,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,072.1 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cubs | 61c | 8,243$5,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,214.94 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Cubs | 62c | 6,765$4,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,573.18 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cubs | 65c | 5,388$3,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.84 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cubs | 61c | 2,000$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked Cubs | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Cubs | 59c | 1,700$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.5 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Cubs | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.25 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Cubs | 62c | 1,344$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.72 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed White Sox | 37c | 1,312$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.51 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Cubs | 61c | 1,231$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.36 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed White Sox | 38c | 1,059$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cubs | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked White Sox | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9273…fcf8backed Cubs | 56c | 962.04$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed White Sox | 36c | 802.45$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.88 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Cubs | 61c | 800$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked White Sox | 7c | 709.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked White Sox | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed White Sox | 32c | 536.37$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.47 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed White Sox | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cubs | 62c | 501$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.9 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Cubs | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed White Sox | 37c | 397.28$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.02 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 62c | 388.31$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.56 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked White Sox | 11c | 379.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed White Sox | 37c | 359.46$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Cubs | 61c | 355.92$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked White Sox | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed White Sox | 7c | 295.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed White Sox | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed White Sox | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cubs | 64c | 264.06$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.06 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed White Sox | 37c | 249.66$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.47 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Cubs | 63c | 242.38$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.85 | 1,396 | 55.2%770 W · 626 L | -28.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Cubs | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed White Sox | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Cubs | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked White Sox | 39c | 194.94$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked White Sox | 38c | 191$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.58 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed White Sox | 38c | 186.84$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Cubs | 63c | 173.72$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.69 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…c8cfbacked Cubs | 64c | 173.08$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed White Sox | 37c | 168$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Cubs | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Cubs | 61c | 165.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.04 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cubs | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked White Sox | 42c | 133.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed White Sox | 42c | 132$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed White Sox | 43c | 130$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed White Sox | 44c | 121$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed White Sox | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cubs | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c4…25e7backed White Sox | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked White Sox | 40c | 95.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Cubs | 62c | 91.93$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed White Sox | 40c | 88.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Cubs | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd827…7570backed Cubs | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Cubs | 60c | 78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Cubs | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed White Sox | 37c | 69.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked White Sox | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…047fbacked Cubs | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…c9c1backed White Sox | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Cubs | 60c | 62.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Cubs | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed White Sox | 45c | 62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed White Sox | 45c | 62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed White Sox | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Cubs | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 1,302 | 56.7%738 W · 564 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked White Sox | 32c | 53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…f3fdbacked White Sox | 37c | 51.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed White Sox | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed White Sox | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Cubs | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed White Sox | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…8a88backed Cubs | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…dbc7backed Cubs | 62c | 49.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e59…6e24backed Cubs | 63c | 48.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…d370backed White Sox | 38c | 47.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…b26cbacked Cubs | 65c | 45.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4a…2553backed Cubs | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3015…85c3backed Cubs | 54c | 39.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8657…74fcbacked Cubs | 59c | 32.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…946fbacked Cubs | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Cubs | 70c | 30.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe91e…d7d4backed White Sox | 37c | 29.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd490…ca22backed Cubs | 64c | 27.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed White Sox | 43c | 25.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb09…0cabbacked Cubs | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +121%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.