MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b8e815aa96a6ec4b3fea9053351508bbcde2e11e188239aea76d4c7d887c7f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,073,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,073,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,073,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Astros | 53c | 924,930$491,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491,959.19 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Athletics | 36c | 280,000$100,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179,200 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Athletics | 36c | 174,316$63,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,720.6 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics | 37c | 93,642$34,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,439.6 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Athletics | 55c | 60,000$33,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,900 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Athletics | 41c | 48,693$19,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,953.06 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 71c | 42,825$30,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,411.86 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics | 74c | 41,184$30,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,589.22 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Athletics | 36c | 40,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,600 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Athletics | 68c | 27,300$18,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,855.15 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Athletics | 37c | 27,000$9,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,010 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Astros | 63c | 23,942$15,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,083.43 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Athletics | 36c | 18,066$6,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,562.24 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Athletics | 37c | 12,572$4,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,920.58 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 36c | 11,400$4,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,296 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 49c | 10,041$4,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,082.17 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Astros | 61c | 7,938$4,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,877.48 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Astros | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.99 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Astros | 59c | 4,241$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Astros | 56c | 4,123$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Astros | 47c | 3,980$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.49 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Astros | 33c | 3,032$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Athletics | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Astros | 63c | 2,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.99 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Astros | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.98 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Athletics | 48c | 1,927$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.54 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Astros | 65c | 1,880$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.99 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Athletics | 37c | 1,868$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.1 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Athletics | 76c | 1,694$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.76 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Athletics | 37c | 1,597$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.95 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Astros | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Astros | 63c | 1,521$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.48 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Athletics | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked Athletics | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 36c | 1,455$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.09 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 45c | 1,430$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.28 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Athletics | 79c | 1,298$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.65 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Astros | 63c | 1,109$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.01 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Athletics | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Astros | 47c | 1,000$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Astros | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Astros | 41c | 856.1$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Athletics | 36c | 832.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.11 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Athletics | 59c | 828.05$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.78 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Astros | 63c | 824$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.12 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Astros | 63c | 817.53$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.05 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Astros | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Astros | 43c | 763.04$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.99 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Astros | 64c | 728.23$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.18 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Astros | 8c | 722.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Astros | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Athletics | 36c | 607.59$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.86 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Athletics | 53c | 567.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.32 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Astros | 63c | 528.93$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.23 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Athletics | 72c | 484.49$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.47 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Astros | 46c | 475$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.5 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Athletics | 35c | 399.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Astros | 32c | 330$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…0f19backed Athletics | 37c | 322.37$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.37 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Astros | 26c | 307.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Athletics | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Astros | 64c | 275.43$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.28 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Astros | 50c | 271$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.69 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Athletics | 36c | 268.72$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.29 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Astros | 63c | 265.08$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Athletics | 36c | 250.05$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.52 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d6…1733backed Astros | 34c | 236$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Astros | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Astros | 66c | 233.33$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Astros | 25c | 230.28$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Athletics | 64c | 224.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.17 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Athletics | 77c | 220.7$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Athletics | 61c | 217.9$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.53 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Athletics | 61c | 215.68$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Astros | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Athletics | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Athletics | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Astros | 64c | 199.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Athletics | 37c | 193.16$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.69 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Astros | 48c | 193$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Athletics | 37c | 178.65$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.18 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Astros | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Astros | 49c | 174.07$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.68 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Athletics | 37c | 174$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Astros | 63c | 171$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.73 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Astros | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Athletics | 71c | 158.58$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Astros | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Athletics | 47c | 155.81$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.34 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Athletics | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Athletics | 62c | 145.07$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Astros | 54c | 140.15$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Athletics | 36c | 126.94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Astros | 64c | 126.16$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.74 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Athletics | 36c | 123$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.23 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Athletics | 35c | 120$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Astros | 64c | 117.19$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…3e7ebacked Astros | 64c | 108.28$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Athletics | 62c | 102.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.