MLB · resolved market
Rockies vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x715f84fcf7fe749ee90b613725b3eb39ef7afe9bb5267febca7a9533a10f9cab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Rockies, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $897,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $870,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $897,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Orioles | 70c | 677,874$474,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203,712.53 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Rockies | 30c | 359,837$108,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,494.04 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rockies | 30c | 296,006$88,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,801.76 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rockies | 30c | 50,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Rockies | 30c | 42,903$12,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,865.93 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Orioles | 70c | 37,985$26,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,395.64 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Orioles | 69c | 35,353$24,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,959.43 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rockies | 30c | 30,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Rockies | 31c | 15,661$4,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,854.88 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockies | 30c | 10,400$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockies | 30c | 6,661$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.16 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Orioles | 70c | 6,000$4,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Rockies | 8c | 5,500$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rockies | 21c | 5,404$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.92 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rockies | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.96 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Rockies | 29c | 4,576$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.36 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Orioles | 71c | 4,353$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.74 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Orioles | 70c | 3,571$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.43 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockies | 20c | 3,324$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.61 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Rockies | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Rockies | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Rockies | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Orioles | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Orioles | 70c | 1,743$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.9 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies | 2c | 1,702$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Orioles | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked Rockies | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Rockies | 1c | 1,491$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rockies | 20c | 1,222$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.37 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Rockies | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Rockies | 28c | 999.95$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rockies | 30c | 906.2$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.86 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70de…b98ebacked Rockies | 4c | 869.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -65%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…337fbacked Rockies | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Orioles | 71c | 551.81$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.33 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Orioles | 69c | 520$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Rockies | 10c | 518.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Rockies | 23c | 436.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Orioles | 69c | 407.9$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.45 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Rockies | 10c | 407.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Orioles | 71c | 350$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.5 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Rockies | 15c | 349.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Rockies | 29c | 344.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Orioles | 70c | 317.14$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.14 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Orioles | 69c | 308$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.48 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Rockies | 31c | 288.06$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies | 21c | 285.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Orioles | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rockies | 30c | 250.37$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.28 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Orioles | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Orioles | 69c | 234$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.54 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Orioles | 70c | 224.27$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.28 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Orioles | 69c | 208$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.48 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Rockies | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Rockies | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Rockies | 29c | 199.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Rockies | 6c | 182.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Rockies | 29c | 167.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Rockies | 30c | 142$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Orioles | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Rockies | 22c | 118.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Rockies | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Orioles | 71c | 112.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Orioles | 69c | 109.68$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rockies | 16c | 109.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Orioles | 77c | 102.77$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Orioles | 78c | 102$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rockies | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Orioles | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Rockies | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Rockies | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5731…bafcbacked Orioles | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe0…f405backed Rockies | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0332…ecf0backed Rockies | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe472…c01fbacked Orioles | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e47…07c1backed Orioles | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…70f0backed Orioles | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e2…05cabacked Orioles | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…8488backed Orioles | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…8bafbacked Orioles | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca9e…b4e8backed Orioles | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff93…a82ebacked Orioles | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Orioles | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rockies | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Rockies | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6696…f6c6backed Rockies | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a13…308bbacked Orioles | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34b9…ded5backed Rockies | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd0…6650backed Orioles | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x144a…ecd8backed Orioles | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd19a…1a2dbacked Rockies | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb1…74cdbacked Orioles | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe1…e962backed Orioles | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa2…288cbacked Rockies | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…d68dbacked Rockies | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…88dabacked Rockies | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dc…b2efbacked Orioles | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48d8…7996backed Rockies | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb80…a209backed Rockies | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.