MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c7340e26dcc31a9b2131a85f98fbe3f9e2bc5a8eb587301b0af7aa26f1c21e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Astros, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $267,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $287,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 52,645$24,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,743.38 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Astros | 52c | 35,873$18,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,256.31 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Astros | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,100 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 20,619$10,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,417 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Astros | 51c | 13,942$7,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,831.45 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 11,824$5,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,706.69 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 9,797$5,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,114.32 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Astros | 53c | 8,134$4,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,822.96 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 6,895$3,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,309.76 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Diamondbacks | 15c | 6,710$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.87 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 6,500$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,005 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Diamondbacks | 74c | 5,983$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Astros | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.38 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 5,607$2,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.48 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…3ee6backed Astros | 53c | 5,472$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.7 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Astros | 48c | 4,653$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.42 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Astros | 52c | 4,425$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.26 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Astros | 66c | 4,076$2,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.86 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 43c | 3,841$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.24 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Astros | 49c | 3,724$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.91 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Astros | 54c | 3,446$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.15 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 3,115$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.06 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.98 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Astros | 53c | 2,987$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Astros | 50c | 2,909$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.7 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 2,900$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.98 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 2,782$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.54 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Astros | 51c | 2,663$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.78 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 2,450$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.94 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Astros | 63c | 2,381$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.95 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Astros | 54c | 2,326$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.41 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…f94fbacked Astros | 73c | 2,310$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.32 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Astros | 75c | 2,290$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.72 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 2,179$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.16 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Astros | 48c | 2,085$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.23 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Astros | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Astros | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 1,868$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.61 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1716…c8babacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 1,840$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8b…c5e2backed Astros | 54c | 1,840$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,651$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.84 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Astros | 52c | 1,460$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.94 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Astros | 73c | 1,258$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.29 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Astros | 51c | 1,171$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.35 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Astros | 46c | 1,005$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.72 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Astros | 74c | 828.44$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.6 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 29c | 789.81$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.28 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Astros | 69c | 753.35$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.84 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…ede5backed Astros | 53c | 742.19$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.83 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Astros | 47c | 719.15$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.15 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 698.76$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.17 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Astros | 53c | 660.06$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.06 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Diamondbacks | 3c | 600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 599.99$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Diamondbacks | 34c | 571.09$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.92 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Diamondbacks | 5c | 516$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Astros | 52c | 499.99$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Diamondbacks | 29c | 479.55$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Diamondbacks | 43c | 478.05$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.56 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Diamondbacks | 75c | 477.59$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.19 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Astros | 54c | 454.98$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.29 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Diamondbacks | 68c | 397$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.96 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 392.18$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.42 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Astros | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Diamondbacks | 24c | 374$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 328.17$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.21 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 310$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Astros | 52c | 310$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.8 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Astros | 43c | 305.88$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.88 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Astros | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Diamondbacks | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…aec0backed Astros | 52c | 284.81$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.24 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Astros | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Astros | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Astros | 47c | 272.79$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.58 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe280…ed39backed Astros | 46c | 257.09$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.83 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Diamondbacks | 14c | 255$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…8f31backed Astros | 55c | 254.55$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9a…ba53backed Astros | 53c | 252.08$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.48 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Astros | 53c | 249.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.49 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 244.2$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 223$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Astros | 37c | 213.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Astros | 64c | 206.1$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.27 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Diamondbacks | 41c | 200.29$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Astros | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Astros | 51c | 194.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.89 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Astros | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 192$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Astros | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Astros | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5d…fa15backed Astros | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 183.47$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.93 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Astros | 52c | 181$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.88 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Astros | 53c | 169.81$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Diamondbacks | 45c | 168$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.