MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79e10ed929a73aab9cb80f60976320420305e28057704106e233abc74dc6f70f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Marlins, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $916,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $919,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $916,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x02d5…88c7backed Cardinals | 60c | 705,263$420,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420,438.26 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 41c | 366,741$148,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217,919.14 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Marlins | 40c | 190,591$76,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,159.72 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Marlins | 40c | 50,000$20,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,800 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe29a…6073backed Marlins | 41c | 24,390$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,390.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Marlins | 40c | 24,100$9,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,460 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Marlins | 43c | 21,025$9,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,984.44 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Cardinals | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,400 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Marlins | 40c | 19,443$7,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,643.68 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Marlins | 41c | 15,622$6,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,273.2 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Marlins | 41c | 13,917$5,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,211.13 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Marlins | 62c | 13,275$8,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,079.01 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 43c | 7,941$3,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,503.14 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Cardinals | 26c | 7,840$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Cardinals | 61c | 6,938$4,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,226.07 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Cardinals | 60c | 5,858$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Marlins | 40c | 5,013$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,007.78 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Marlins | 39c | 5,009$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,067.93 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 41c | 4,063$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.97 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Cardinals | 60c | 4,011$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,406.6 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Cardinals | 59c | 3,500$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Cardinals | 61c | 3,291$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Cardinals | 58c | 3,150$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Marlins | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Marlins | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Marlins | 41c | 2,976$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.61 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Marlins | 40c | 2,625$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Marlins | 42c | 2,577$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.77 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Marlins | 42c | 2,444$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.5 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Marlins | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Marlins | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…a693backed Cardinals | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cardinals | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.93 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0c…cd1cbacked Marlins | 40c | 1,900$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Cardinals | 56c | 1,799$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7a…8274backed Marlins | 40c | 1,600$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd1…4e2bbacked Cardinals | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 24c | 1,403$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.64 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Marlins | 41c | 1,287$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.09 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Marlins | 41c | 1,266$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.94 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Cardinals | 57c | 1,250$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.5 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Marlins | 41c | 1,090$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.28 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Cardinals | 59c | 1,014$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.44 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Cardinals | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…450bbacked Marlins | 42c | 949.99$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked Marlins | 40c | 900$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Marlins | 40c | 899.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Marlins | 39c | 879.94$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.76 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Cardinals | 61c | 814.52$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Cardinals | 58c | 800$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Marlins | 40c | 755$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Marlins | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 53c | 750$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.45 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Marlins | 39c | 740$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.4 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 20c | 716.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Cardinals | 4c | 669.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cardinals | 59c | 660.95$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.96 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Cardinals | 60c | 637.88$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.73 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cardinals | 59c | 530.08$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.75 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Cardinals | 57c | 530$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.1 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Marlins | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Marlins | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals | 28c | 486.24$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.52 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Marlins | 69c | 458.74$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.21 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Cardinals | 62c | 447.51$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.01 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Cardinals | 24c | 418$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Cardinals | 59c | 324.64$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.39 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Cardinals | 59c | 320.05$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.94 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Marlins | 79c | 311.94$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.27 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Marlins | 72c | 300.94$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cardinals | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 41c | 299.83$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.65 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d6…1733backed Cardinals | 51c | 295.51$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cardinals | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Marlins | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Cardinals | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Cardinals | 54c | 250$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Marlins | 40c | 249.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.98 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Marlins | 40c | 249.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.53 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Marlins | 41c | 244.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.18 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Marlins | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Marlins | 39c | 179.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.79 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Marlins | 65c | 170.24$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cardinals | 58c | 170$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Marlins | 42c | 166.21$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.4 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b9…1d0fbacked Marlins | 41c | 166.15$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.03 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Cardinals | 58c | 166$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.12 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Marlins | 56c | 165$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d49…fb65backed Marlins | 41c | 154.39$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.09 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Marlins | 42c | 150.56$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.88 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e99…b222backed Marlins | 41c | 148.02$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.33 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Marlins | 63c | 139.81$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.73 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Cardinals | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 546 | 54.9%300 W · 246 L | +12.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cardinals | 60c | 124.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1151…f522backed Cardinals | 61c | 123.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7ceabacked Marlins | 40c | 123$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.