College Football · resolved market
South Florida vs. Miami
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37a1e6c1123e23cc6693c6ad647e3a15d5032b0a82a8117492886590cf45c211
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miamiof South Florida, Miami
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked South Florida | 15c | 29,084$4,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,352.17 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed South Florida | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed South Florida | 8c | 4,121$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.42 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed South Florida | 3c | 3,282$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…83dcbacked South Florida | 15c | 1,750$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed South Florida | 14c | 1,379$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.46 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…7d00backed South Florida | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed South Florida | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…3748backed South Florida | 14c | 720$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x058b…1cd1backed South Florida | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked South Florida | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed South Florida | 17c | 594.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x436b…7bb9backed South Florida | 10c | 521.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked South Florida | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +14.8wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked South Florida | 12c | 350$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed South Florida | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked South Florida | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked South Florida | 14c | 290$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed South Florida | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed South Florida | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x603e…ef82backed South Florida | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked South Florida | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed South Florida | 13c | 199.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked South Florida | 6c | 188$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked South Florida | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d3…8743backed South Florida | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc063…cd92backed South Florida | 8c | 159.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed South Florida | 13c | 153.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +136.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed South Florida | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked South Florida | 13c | 103.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc0…4ce8backed South Florida | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked South Florida | 13c | 85.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Florida vs. Miamithis page
- Spread: Miami (-17.5)Miami won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.