MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2596692ddd395880472c00508057cb2d3aebb896d2dcde24ead947b360c43326
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Cardinals, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $332,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $346,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Cardinals | 43c | 126,697$54,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,479.78 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Reds | 56c | 76,695$43,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,394.27 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cardinals | 44c | 52,368$23,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,042.06 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Reds | 57c | 27,000$15,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,610 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Reds | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,600 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Reds | 56c | 15,925$8,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,068.91 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Reds | 57c | 15,455$8,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,700.2 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Reds | 57c | 12,539$7,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,391.86 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Cardinals | 43c | 10,067$4,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,328.81 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Cardinals | 44c | 8,242$3,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,626.6 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 58c | 7,354$4,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,096.72 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cardinals | 6c | 6,870$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.41 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…cb45backed Cardinals | 32c | 6,706$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.95 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Reds | 57c | 6,496$3,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.89 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Reds | 57c | 6,160$3,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,648.8 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Cardinals | 39c | 5,619$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183.58 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cardinals | 53c | 5,014$2,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,657.39 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Reds | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cardinals | 43c | 4,999$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128.16 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Cardinals | 44c | 4,866$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.95 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Reds | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Cardinals | 59c | 2,533$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.16 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Reds | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 36c | 2,293$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.37 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Reds | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Reds | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Cardinals | 42c | 1,624$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Reds | 57c | 1,491$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.23 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cardinals | 43c | 1,440$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.2 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cardinals | 9c | 1,152$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Reds | 57c | 1,142$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.26 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Cardinals | 64c | 1,109$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.34 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Reds | 52c | 1,100$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Reds | 60c | 1,098$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.34 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Cardinals | 16c | 1,015$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.76 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Reds | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Reds | 56c | 999.51$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.39 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Cardinals | 3c | 940$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…51e3backed Reds | 57c | 801.75$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.75 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Reds | 56c | 799.98$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.99 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Reds | 57c | 794.74$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.74 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Cardinals | 55c | 788$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.4 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Cardinals | 62c | 783.97$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.05 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.34per pick | 42cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Reds | 69c | 778.19$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.41 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cardinals | 10c | 777.12$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Cardinals | 57c | 769.91$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.65 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 44c | 681$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.64 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Reds | 36c | 673$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.06 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Cardinals | 49c | 616.72$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Cardinals | 43c | 561.54$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.46 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Cardinals | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed Reds | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Reds | 55c | 488.8$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.9 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Cardinals | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Cardinals | 44c | 443.68$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.68 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…5590backed Cardinals | 64c | 426.26$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.07 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Reds | 44c | 408.63$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.63 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Cardinals | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.89 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70bf…690ebacked Cardinals | 47c | 395.75$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Reds | 55c | 367.01$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.15 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58e…6712backed Reds | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 43c | 350$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Reds | 59c | 341.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.36 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Reds | 57c | 338.04$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.36 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cardinals | 34c | 312.85$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.71 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Reds | 57c | 301.75$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.75 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Cardinals | 57c | 300.27$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.31 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cardinals | 43c | 300$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Reds | 47c | 297.96$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.31 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ac…2c1abacked Reds | 57c | 280.7$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…74bbbacked Cardinals | 55c | 277.36$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cardinals | 43c | 264.51$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.51 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc3…8fffbacked Reds | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cardinals | 42c | 249.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Reds | 57c | 249.44$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.29 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Cardinals | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Cardinals | 42c | 238$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Reds | 57c | 231.24$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.43 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Cardinals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Reds | 57c | 225.42$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.93 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Reds | 57c | 224.33$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.33 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Reds | 56c | 209.01$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.31 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe19…ec9fbacked Reds | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Reds | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Reds | 56c | 177.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Reds | 72c | 167.43$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Reds | 58c | 155.17$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Cardinals | 43c | 139.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Reds | 65c | 136.75$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfa…b7b1backed Cardinals | 67c | 126.62$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -11.5wins | -0.31per pick | 58cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Cardinals | 43c | 125.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Reds | 44c | 123.54$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Cardinals | 42c | 123.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…8a88backed Cardinals | 19c | 116.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Cardinals | 43c | 116$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Reds | 46c | 111.56$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0d…d10bbacked Cardinals | 45c | 103.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cardinals vs. Redsthis page
- Cardinals vs. Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Reds (-1.5)Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.