MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8687e3a2644566ea5f23431c85af54c5d531c1956b1848279e83e56f1af6f92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Pirates, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Cardinals | 36c | 12,434$4,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,985.48 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…aac8backed Pirates | 29c | 7,748$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Pirates | 71c | 7,636$5,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,421.53 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Cardinals | 55c | 7,089$3,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.24 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…6e7abacked Cardinals | 55c | 6,762$3,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,043.27 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Pirates | 33c | 5,436$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.81 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pirates | 44c | 3,977$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.09 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cardinals | 56c | 3,333$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.52 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 47c | 2,129$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.65 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Pirates | 71c | 1,719$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.94 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Pirates | 45c | 1,710$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.51 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pirates | 37c | 1,610$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.6 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Pirates | 34c | 1,423$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.97 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 64c | 1,268$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.19 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pirates | 48c | 1,249$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.81 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Cardinals | 55c | 1,037$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.7 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Cardinals | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…4eb8backed Pirates | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed Cardinals | 72c | 991.24$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.69 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pirates | 45c | 900$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Pirates | 17c | 857.08$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pirates | 45c | 843.11$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.83 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Pirates | 46c | 815.22$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…51e3backed Pirates | 46c | 661.7$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Pirates | 52c | 644.09$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.36 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…95f3backed Pirates | 78c | 641.22$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Pirates | 44c | 578.6$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.11 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Cardinals | 55c | 545$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.25 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 56c | 534.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.39 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Pirates | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Pirates | 43c | 478.66$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.83 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cardinals | 41c | 441.66$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.58 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Cardinals | 79c | 408.05$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 43c | 399.51$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.53 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Pirates | 46c | 365$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.9 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pirates | 52c | 364.34$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.68 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Pirates | 49c | 347.36$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.21 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cardinals | 18c | 341.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.71 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…1808backed Cardinals | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cardinals | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cardinals | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Pirates | 44c | 243.18$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Pirates | 45c | 227.6$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.42 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pirates | 30c | 224.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Pirates | 13c | 221$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fc…5ddfbacked Cardinals | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…b33dbacked Pirates | 13c | 203.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Pirates | 10c | 201.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cardinals | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pirates | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cardinals | 55c | 155.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b1…dd65backed Cardinals | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…884cbacked Pirates | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Cardinals | 57c | 149.12$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.12 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Pirates | 46c | 136$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Pirates | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Pirates | 45c | 111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…2937backed Pirates | 50c | 108.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.36 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Pirates | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pirates | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Pirates | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Pirates | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Cardinals | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Pirates | 46c | 91.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Pirates | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Pirates | 45c | 79.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Pirates | 39c | 79.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Pirates | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 45c | 74.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…6a09backed Cardinals | 55c | 74.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d8…8211backed Pirates | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9439…51debacked Cardinals | 70c | 65.81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Cardinals | 65c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…c13dbacked Cardinals | 56c | 63.61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Cardinals | 26c | 62.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.65 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Pirates | 33c | 60.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d4…b04dbacked Cardinals | 56c | 58.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Pirates | 56c | 54.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Pirates | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates | 30c | 50.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Pirates | 47c | 50.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeacf…ed1dbacked Cardinals | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Cardinals | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…e8f2backed Pirates | 40c | 48.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x485d…5907backed Cardinals | 56c | 48.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Pirates | 45c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5685…e3e8backed Cardinals | 56c | 46.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Pirates | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f0…b2bebacked Cardinals | 56c | 39.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Cardinals | 55c | 36.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…69ebbacked Cardinals | 56c | 35.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad3…7044backed Cardinals | 56c | 34.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Cardinals | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cardinals | 56c | 32.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…ac8dbacked Pirates | 44c | 32.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 268 | 45.5%122 W · 146 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Cardinals | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…7295backed Pirates | 77c | 31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pirates vs. Cardinalsthis page
- Pirates vs. Cardinals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Cardinals (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.