MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4121bdfb8114da0a31b907cf4f5514dd47260588529733ef798f51d965128334
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Rays, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $300,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $312,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Rays | 47c | 156,564$73,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,469.07 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Mariners | 53c | 89,400$47,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,018 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mariners | 53c | 31,614$16,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,977.05 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Mariners | 46c | 30,572$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,571.92 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Rays | 60c | 20,816$12,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,585.38 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Rays | 54c | 15,830$8,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,549.72 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Mariners | 55c | 13,510$7,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,077.92 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Mariners | 44c | 10,607$4,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,970.68 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Rays | 59c | 9,891$5,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,843.19 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mariners | 53c | 8,300$4,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,901 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rays | 53c | 7,618$4,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,063.3 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Mariners | 40c | 7,507$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,507.12 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdb…7ea3backed Mariners | 53c | 7,225$3,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mariners | 19c | 6,258$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,058.32 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Rays | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 59c | 4,482$2,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,653.34 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Mariners | 54c | 4,069$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.42 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Rays | 46c | 3,912$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.47 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 56c | 3,627$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.91 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 53c | 3,441$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.97 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mariners | 53c | 2,206$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.02 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Mariners | 53c | 2,100$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Rays | 65c | 2,076$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.58 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rays | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rays | 76c | 1,749$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.24 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Mariners | 54c | 1,561$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.06 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Rays | 62c | 1,410$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.84 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Mariners | 26c | 1,350$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.48 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rays | 46c | 1,179$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.13 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Mariners | 43c | 1,176$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.52 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mariners | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Mariners | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Rays | 38c | 850$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Rays | 59c | 778.17$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.9 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rays | 9c | 756.04$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.53 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…1d2dbacked Rays | 48c | 730.56$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.67 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mariners | 43c | 599.98$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.14 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Mariners | 54c | 549.97$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.99 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Rays | 64c | 524$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.17 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Rays | 55c | 521$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.11 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rays | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Rays | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Rays | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rays | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Rays | 54c | 414.01$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.29 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Mariners | 53c | 406.17$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.74 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Rays | 58c | 399.39$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.47 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Mariners | 54c | 399$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.54 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Rays | 64c | 384.67$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.74 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mariners | 27c | 373.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.11 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rays | 52c | 348.01$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.68 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…5279backed Rays | 56c | 335.12$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.85 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rays | 48c | 300$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.06 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Rays | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Mariners | 48c | 290.45$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.45 | 1,396 | 55.2%770 W · 626 L | -28.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mariners | 54c | 277$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.42 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccbf…dce5backed Rays | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rays | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…2305backed Rays | 53c | 204.35$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.28 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Rays | 14c | 200.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mariners | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Mariners | 40c | 200$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rays | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Rays | 66c | 190.66$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.87 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Mariners | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Mariners | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rays | 46c | 182.61$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Mariners | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays | 49c | 181.73$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.44 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…f89cbacked Mariners | 21c | 180$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Rays | 48c | 162.51$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Mariners | 54c | 156.69$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Rays | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Mariners | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rays | 46c | 148$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Mariners | 33c | 140.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.56 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Rays | 46c | 135.43$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…2937backed Rays | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…571fbacked Mariners | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed Mariners | 27c | 120$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.8 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff8b…effcbacked Mariners | 42c | 119.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.04 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c88…5685backed Mariners | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rays | 45c | 105.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c49…a3cebacked Rays | 63c | 102.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Mariners | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Mariners | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Rays | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Rays | 57c | 99.78$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked Rays | 76c | 98.83$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Mariners | 44c | 98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…ac8dbacked Rays | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 268 | 45.5%122 W · 146 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a8…80f4backed Mariners | 54c | 94.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…d9a9backed Mariners | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Rays | 62c | 90$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Mariners | 30c | 82.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…51c6backed Rays | 77c | 80.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.02 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Rays | 46c | 79.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91a7…cac6backed Mariners | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…2adcbacked Rays | 57c | 75.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.