TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Mets vs. Brewers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Brewersof Mets, Brewers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,273,731
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,287,393

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,273,731 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x461f…7a07backed Mets43c908,238$391,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391,779.812043.3%52 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Brewers57c325,375$184,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140,37622852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Brewers57c209,942$118,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,262.291,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Mets44c181,932$79,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,373.059440.4%38 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Brewers57c118,816$67,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,545.7735952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Brewers56c99,019$55,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,073.4838751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked Brewers57c71,312$40,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,521.226258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Brewers58c62,272$36,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,868.6560249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Brewers57c50,000$28,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,70055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Brewers57c45,000$25,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,35044456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Brewers57c38,230$21,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,500.5923455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Brewers57c27,439$15,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,798.7723545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Brewers57c24,375$13,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,481.3211150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Brewers57c23,255$13,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,999.817156.1%96 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Mets43c20,000$8,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,60053150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Brewers56c14,107$7,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,166.0125453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Brewers56c10,332$5,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,523.764443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Brewers56c9,500$5,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1801,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Brewers57c8,009$4,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,443.6938047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers57c7,980$4,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,437.042,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Mets44c6,650$2,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,925.4333845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Brewers71c6,179$4,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,763.7480955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc9…56d0backed Mets43c5,020$2,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,158.592050%10 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Mets42c5,000$2,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,11022047.7%105 W · 115 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Brewers56c4,700$2,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,067.9216352.1%85 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c4…6ea5backed Brewers57c3,789$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.292751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d57…d7ffbacked Brewers57c3,621$2,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.035850%29 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x387c…a6dbbacked Brewers57c2,714$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.015642.9%24 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5681…cac8backed Mets43c2,650$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.55042%21 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Mets20c2,601$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.4554345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Brewers58c2,586$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.2136047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Mets45c2,558$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.81,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Brewers56c2,445$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.7756451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Mets44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Mets42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.9924248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Brewers56c1,875$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.7973352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Mets44c1,591$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Brewers64c1,575$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.9218837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Brewers57c1,544$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.921,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Brewers58c1,400$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58438249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked Brewers57c1,300$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5592437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a41…069abacked Brewers58c1,293$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.13228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-44.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4be9…97ecbacked Brewers58c1,243$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.885667.9%38 W · 18 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6fba…bdbdbacked Mets17c1,211$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007548%36 W · 39 L-9.2wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-24.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x77f2…1742backed Brewers29c1,042$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.822138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Mets45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77fb…849ebacked Mets41c999.99$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4105743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mets47c945.47$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.952,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Mets44c928.55$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.5670946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Mets45c928.32$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.891,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Mets48c910.97$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43713553.3%72 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67fd…2b74backed Brewers52c900.48$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.7516651.8%86 W · 80 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Mets44c900$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.533140.2%133 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Mets65c820.9$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53021656%121 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Brewers55c818.18$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.1822546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Brewers56c809.05$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.2395850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Mets33c739.16$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.5873149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Brewers78c697.65$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.6331248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Brewers57c675.67$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.5438444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Brewers60c666$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.451953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Brewers58c600$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25242452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbfd…1be9backed Brewers58c594.72$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.781030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-46.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Brewers57c590$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.743654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Brewers58c551.72$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.7229948.8%146 W · 153 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked Brewers57c508.77$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.776953.6%37 W · 32 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Brewers59c508$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Brewers57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2151,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Mets30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Mets43c499.96$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.983,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Mets46c499.92$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.961,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Mets43c490.51$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.9243247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Mets43c467.68$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.9938949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Mets43c465.1$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02c…2cf8backed Brewers57c441$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.632454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Brewers58c419.99$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.45248.1%25 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x051a…98b9backed Brewers58c409.66$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.061855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Mets43c403.7$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.4485047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Mets44c400.63$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.2851347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Mets46c397.43$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.8211947.9%57 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2200…0f2dbacked Brewers56c380$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.42240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Mets69c335.3$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.8623938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed Mets35c335$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.35028%14 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Mets28c331.81$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5934164.2%219 W · 122 L+22.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Brewers74c315$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0868769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Brewers59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1238652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Mets44c300$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1332,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Brewers69c296.21$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2157545.9%264 W · 311 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Brewers55c294.69$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.6117244.8%77 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1417…4dd2backed Mets70c285.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002853.6%15 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Brewers47c274.38$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.0380680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Brewers56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8663052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Brewers57c263$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.091,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbccd…6aeebacked Brewers57c233.33$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.334045%18 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c44…6ecebacked Brewers53c221.46$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.096550.8%33 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Mets42c209.31$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.631,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a7d…0a62backed Brewers60c208.33$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.335764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Brewers54c205.56$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5699951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Brewers54c202.23$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.231,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.