MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x241f3dda3801c7770213efc9bcfa29fcdfb65a5e01891e4ac8491824ddaff1ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Cubs, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 486 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Brewers | 45c | 25,340$11,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,044.25 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cubs | 36c | 15,411$5,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,613.46 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Brewers | 66c | 12,387$8,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,194.74 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 46c | 8,488$3,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,875.34 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Cubs | 50c | 5,307$2,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,653.46 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 25c | 4,696$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.11 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Brewers | 36c | 3,429$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.52 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Cubs | 52c | 3,300$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f7…1b4cbacked Cubs | 51c | 2,900$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54cd…71b9backed Brewers | 49c | 2,200$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 51c | 2,191$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.6 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Brewers | 49c | 2,042$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.42 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Brewers | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.4 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Brewers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Cubs | 74c | 1,906$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.68 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Cubs | 50c | 1,829$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Brewers | 47c | 1,461$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.12 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Brewers | 34c | 1,375$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.04 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc348…2ceebacked Cubs | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Brewers | 30c | 1,351$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee73…18e6backed Brewers | 49c | 1,350$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…50d3backed Cubs | 51c | 1,300$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…1f64backed Brewers | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372d…05d5backed Brewers | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65df…8397backed Cubs | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Cubs | 51c | 1,186$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.8 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…a693backed Brewers | 49c | 1,150$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3661…b27cbacked Cubs | 51c | 1,137$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958e…1a56backed Brewers | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b2…8696backed Cubs | 51c | 1,067$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67f…35a4backed Cubs | 51c | 1,063$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.13 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cubs | 55c | 1,040$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.38 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x346d…aa71backed Brewers | 49c | 1,031$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.81 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e57…5ec6backed Cubs | 51c | 1,027$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…c39fbacked Cubs | 51c | 973$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Cubs | 50c | 971.46$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.12 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877b…4628backed Brewers | 49c | 969$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ed…ca2bbacked Brewers | 49c | 951$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddf…0192backed Brewers | 49c | 949$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cubs | 32c | 934.58$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.12 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…7c41backed Cubs | 51c | 933$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…31a7backed Cubs | 51c | 927$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Cubs | 53c | 911.91$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.22 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Cubs | 43c | 824.57$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.39 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cubs | 51c | 799.99$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.99 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Brewers | 48c | 794.97$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.39 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Cubs | 51c | 724.19$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Cubs | 69c | 612.17$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.37 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8dacbacked Brewers | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db4…cc65backed Brewers | 48c | 599.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Cubs | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Cubs | 44c | 486$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.63 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Cubs | 67c | 454$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.42 | 145 | 65.5%95 W · 50 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…8a88backed Cubs | 23c | 452.34$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.31 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Brewers | 48c | 448.36$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.15 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Cubs | 70c | 434$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.53 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Cubs | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…8222backed Brewers | 48c | 399.97$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cubs | 52c | 384.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cubs | 51c | 373$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.23 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Brewers | 50c | 305.8$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.9 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Cubs | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Brewers | 48c | 299.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Cubs | 67c | 234.95$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.46 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cubs | 49c | 220$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe280…ed39backed Cubs | 9c | 218.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cubs | 52c | 205.26$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Brewers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Brewers | 67c | 200.69$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.23 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c2…0705backed Cubs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5070…0039backed Cubs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafbd…67aebacked Cubs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…06b5backed Cubs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…43dfbacked Cubs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f4…8894backed Cubs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf46…d661backed Cubs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…4508backed Cubs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…8065backed Cubs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5018…d3eabacked Cubs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc79…3e8dbacked Cubs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a04…bdf5backed Cubs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb76…d412backed Cubs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e1…51d0backed Cubs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d35…0700backed Cubs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fd…0d4bbacked Cubs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…3468backed Cubs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89e1…7207backed Cubs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4858…0e39backed Cubs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf372…d63dbacked Cubs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133c…9c2fbacked Cubs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e0…4847backed Brewers | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d4…9d72backed Cubs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf1…a812backed Cubs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc576…5ef2backed Cubs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…8717backed Cubs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…8295backed Cubs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…ee50backed Cubs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce0b…a16fbacked Brewers | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ce…3b7bbacked Cubs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f34…d5f7backed Cubs | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.