MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f1a2e99c36442bb3b5021ce9aeba9fa3ea63d1256d75ef46ee663677c2d2fbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Cubs, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 469 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cardinals | 2c | 2,621$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 51c | 2,505$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.74 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Cardinals | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Cardinals | 47c | 2,377$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.27 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cardinals | 7c | 2,253$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.4 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cubs | 50c | 2,250$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.48 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cardinals | 50c | 2,100$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.34 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 24c | 1,868$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.14 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Cardinals | 48c | 1,541$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.47 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Cardinals | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.14 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Cubs | 51c | 1,377$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.83 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cardinals | 50c | 1,276$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.7 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Cardinals | 9c | 1,159$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 62c | 1,081$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.38 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Cubs | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.21 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cubs | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Cardinals | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cubs | 49c | 995.7$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.81 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cubs | 50c | 961.65$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.27 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Cardinals | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Cardinals | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Cubs | 51c | 599.99$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Cardinals | 49c | 599.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Cardinals | 50c | 528$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Cubs | 50c | 384.54$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.27 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cardinals | 51c | 326.94$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.74 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Cardinals | 51c | 320$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.19 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Cubs | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 51c | 294$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c4…83e3backed Cubs | 52c | 273.77$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c2…61afbacked Cubs | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…81cfbacked Cubs | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ea…d2e7backed Cardinals | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2252…83f1backed Cardinals | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cardinals | 48c | 228.73$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.79 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Cardinals | 7c | 225$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Cubs | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Cubs | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cardinals | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…490bbacked Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…8d34backed Cardinals | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…afb5backed Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…2612backed Cardinals | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -8.5wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -29%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…b555backed Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…88e6backed Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbf…f78fbacked Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…d782backed Cardinals | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…9033backed Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfa…2fa8backed Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…a521backed Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8187…fbe2backed Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0a…bb8ebacked Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab77…cd04backed Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…78dabacked Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +9.3wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ff…42f7backed Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…cc30backed Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9194…cc43backed Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97cd…1d85backed Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…0bccbacked Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa393…f478backed Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x806e…2d21backed Cardinals | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -11.2wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…af2cbacked Cardinals | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4f…0170backed Cardinals | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf45…413abacked Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebb…670dbacked Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d7…a553backed Cardinals | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb65a…3aa3backed Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1138…be8fbacked Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda76…0838backed Cardinals | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e3…fbbebacked Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…18d9backed Cardinals | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…d24cbacked Cardinals | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223e…602bbacked Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e7…c54abacked Cardinals | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa079…ed58backed Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…8197backed Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf3…b281backed Cardinals | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…8340backed Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…1e7abacked Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee1…a478backed Cardinals | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0900…ced0backed Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56f5…0071backed Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f1…a93dbacked Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…1270backed Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…f4f6backed Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +9.3wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…3adfbacked Cardinals | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfea…35d3backed Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x436b…c7ccbacked Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe96b…3394backed Cardinals | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x144b…199ebacked Cardinals | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -9.3wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa09e…0883backed Cardinals | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fd…1753backed Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…70c6backed Cardinals | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33d6…e499backed Cardinals | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d0…9310backed Cardinals | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd3…eecfbacked Cubs | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…8250backed Cardinals | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3807…83c9backed Cardinals | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…752cbacked Cardinals | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.