TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Guardians vs. White Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Guardiansof Guardians, White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$635,402
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$633,866

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $635,402 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 541 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x461f…7a07backed Guardians57c450,185$255,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194,629.2112043.3%52 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox43c254,609$109,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109,915.871,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked White Sox43c79,700$34,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,27122852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed White Sox44c50,000$22,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,00038751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked White Sox43c40,000$17,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,20055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Guardians57c20,601$11,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,861.960249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked White Sox44c20,026$8,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,811.4938047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed White Sox43c20,000$8,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,60011150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Guardians56c20,000$11,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,80053150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked White Sox44c19,270$8,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,386.291,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed White Sox43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,30025453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Guardians69c9,562$6,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,989.0233845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed White Sox41c9,539$3,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,874.0623545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed White Sox44c8,477$3,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,729.884443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox25c5,603$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.552,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked White Sox44c5,036$2,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,217.782,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc9…56d0backed White Sox43c5,020$2,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,158.592050%10 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked White Sox1c4,692$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.864754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d57…d7ffbacked Guardians57c3,812$2,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.165850%29 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked White Sox43c3,680$1,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.61,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed White Sox30c3,652$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.3538444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed White Sox6c3,558$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22027213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Guardians55c3,461$1,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.4144456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Guardians56c3,371$1,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.4324154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Guardians57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,29022047.7%105 W · 115 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked White Sox11c2,569$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28029240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Guardians58c2,000$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.011,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed White Sox43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86015942.1%67 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed White Sox43c1,821$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.0335952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed White Sox21c1,648$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.369,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked White Sox44c1,591$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.0473352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked White Sox44c1,563$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.515,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed White Sox43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64514446.5%67 W · 77 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed Guardians57c1,202$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.752231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed White Sox45c1,200$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54038249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed White Sox41c1,135$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.3538949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed White Sox43c1,068$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.0934245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed White Sox43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43041643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Guardians59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Guardians56c999.98$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.991,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked White Sox42c957$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.941,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed White Sox3c747$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6210548.6%51 W · 54 L+8.9wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Guardians57c697.41$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.8970946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked White Sox44c691.41$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3056953.6%37 W · 32 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Guardians56c673.75$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.5695850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x40ab…fbb5backed White Sox45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016654.8%91 W · 75 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed White Sox4c659.91$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Guardians57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25842452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2cd…d0b5backed White Sox43c537$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.9170%0 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x21c3…5654backed Guardians57c526$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.18650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e89…e67abacked Guardians57c524$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.32785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick47cpaid+86.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa804…4d41backed White Sox43c513$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.59757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed White Sox44c482.46$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.8380680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Guardians79c460$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.821656%121 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Guardians73c460$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1266,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2200…0f2dbacked White Sox45c450$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.52240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe11c…49efbacked Guardians57c397.54$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.9412949.6%64 W · 65 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Guardians56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1456351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Guardians59c336.64$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.021,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked White Sox20c310$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6234164.2%219 W · 122 L+22.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Guardians55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13530850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked White Sox42c299.98$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.992,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed White Sox45c250$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.518649.5%92 W · 94 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked White Sox44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1106141%25 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Guardians56c242.86$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8624253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74c4…4493backed White Sox42c236.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2717850%89 W · 89 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed White Sox43c233$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1940548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bf7…cdb7backed White Sox8c225$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1845749.7%227 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed White Sox43c213.71$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.861,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Guardians57c212.28$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2846631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked White Sox44c208.23$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5785047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7752…490bbacked White Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe52…8d34backed Guardians56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9a5…6751backed Guardians56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5ad…afb5backed Guardians56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4258…2612backed White Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885538.2%21 W · 34 L-8.5wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-29%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2ea7…b555backed White Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ec0…8ee3backed Guardians56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885052%26 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbbf…f78fbacked Guardians56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885139.2%20 W · 31 L-6.6wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-25.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6caa…d782backed White Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd769…9969backed Guardians56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885060%30 W · 20 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea21…9033backed White Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885250%26 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bfa…2fa8backed White Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6204…cc30backed Guardians56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x806e…2d21backed White Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885330.2%16 W · 37 L-11.2wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-41.4%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x634a…af2cbacked Guardians56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885044%22 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ebb…670dbacked White Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79d7…a553backed Guardians56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885139.2%20 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda76…0838backed White Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885238.5%20 W · 32 L-7.4wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7dfb…18d9backed Guardians56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x597e…d24cbacked Guardians56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5e7…c54abacked Guardians56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb79f…8197backed White Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcf3…b281backed White Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd08…1e7abacked Guardians56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885450%27 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee1…a478backed Guardians56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885457.4%31 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0900…ced0backed Guardians56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885354.7%29 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2f1…a93dbacked White Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885042%21 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf397…3adfbacked White Sox44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.