TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Tigers vs. Twins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tigersof Tigers, Twins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,396,015
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,531,118

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,396,015 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 708 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe785…e106backed Twins38c936,079$354,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354,290.854854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Tigers62c538,500$333,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204,63022852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Tigers62c156,429$97,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,295.211,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Tigers63c123,520$77,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,702.4917652.8%93 W · 83 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Tigers64c27,484$17,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,011.5517156.1%96 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Tigers62c24,500$15,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,31055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Tigers62c22,071$13,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,334.8525453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb377…f621backed Twins37c20,000$7,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,399.983470.6%24 W · 10 L+7.7wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+42.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Twins36c20,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,199.9260249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Tigers63c19,769$12,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,276.4235952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Tigers63c18,948$11,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,011.2823545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37be…c646backed Twins56c14,967$8,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,453.926450%32 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3106…4a1fbacked Twins38c13,700$5,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,206771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+59.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers63c11,800$7,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,312.972,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Tigers49c10,245$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,244.7536047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Tigers63c10,000$6,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,654.328646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Twins37c10,000$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,70041850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Tigers65c9,615$6,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,335.968769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Twins37c9,349$3,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,415.256451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Twins38c9,306$3,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,571.4833845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa44e…40b6backed Tigers62c8,200$5,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1161275%9 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+44%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Tigers71c7,688$5,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200.9196133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Tigers41c7,392$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,391.8230842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Tigers63c7,000$4,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,589.9948254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Twins43c6,941$2,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,972.3154345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29d7…068bbacked Tigers62c6,300$3,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3941850%9 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Twins49c6,292$3,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,079.032,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Twins35c6,158$2,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,171.3634245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tigers63c6,065$3,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,244.171,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Tigers63c5,556$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.5624154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Tigers62c5,478$3,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.6416352.1%85 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked Tigers62c5,400$3,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,05210041%41 W · 59 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Twins37c5,361$1,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.841,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Tigers53c3,470$1,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.5525454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Tigers65c3,333$2,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.5598149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Tigers62c3,226$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.8119649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x251b…143cbacked Tigers55c3,052$1,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.4721753.9%117 W · 100 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Tigers57c2,813$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.6438444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x982a…48aebacked Twins20c2,732$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.511050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc6…f0f8backed Twins37c2,703$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011051.8%57 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Tigers46c2,547$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.8211331.9%36 W · 77 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Tigers64c2,522$1,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.9924253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Tigers62c2,500$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95095850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Twins49c2,423$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.124551.8%127 W · 118 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Twins49c2,129$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.779,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77fb…849ebacked Tigers56c1,999$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.65743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6674…7983backed Tigers62c1,882$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Twins44c1,813$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe88e…a7d4backed Tigers59c1,696$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.762770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Tigers62c1,694$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.7273352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc624…106abacked Twins36c1,666$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.761662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Tigers51c1,595$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.31,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4113…95d7backed Tigers66c1,525$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Tigers63c1,468$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.8326056.5%147 W · 113 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Tigers64c1,341$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.9337857.4%217 W · 161 L+1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Twins37c1,300$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.111,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e3…3464backed Tigers63c1,229$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.684847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Twins50c1,125$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.2241747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff59…afeabacked Twins37c1,100$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Tigers37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63041643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Tigers64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36032042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Tigers18c1,000$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82030850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Twins47c985$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.2518236.3%66 W · 116 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x918e…3203backed Twins36c967$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.12728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x531f…8b66backed Twins35c943$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.051050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bce…0445backed Tigers64c933$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.88757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Tigers55c913.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.451,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc48e…f355backed Tigers65c908$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.8650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d9d…78a9backed Tigers65c892$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.2450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tigers70c880$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.3747745.7%218 W · 259 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75df…0ee9backed Tigers64c867$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Tigers63c866$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.4224350.2%122 W · 121 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f23…babebacked Twins35c857$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.95955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Twins53c848.87$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.91,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdef3…f121backed Twins36c833$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.88825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-58%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c92…1897backed Tigers63c800$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x517a…6491backed Tigers63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.659354.8%51 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Twins43c772.97$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.666,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Tigers66c758.12$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.1266645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9a2…5e16backed Tigers47c750.74$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.96650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Tigers56c737.99$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.9925551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4804…a3bcbacked Tigers63c700$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+33.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf0a…8ca0backed Twins38c699.99$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+58.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Tigers66c657.75$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.1528053.9%151 W · 129 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Tigers63c633.42$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.6743949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Tigers65c623.9$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.3888549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Tigers66c600$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20421656%121 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Tigers51c593.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.411,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Twins35c571$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.851,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d64…5c93backed Tigers59c557.95$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.763336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.9wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Twins36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Twins37c549.99$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.527733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f0b…2305backed Twins39c534.19$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.438042.5%34 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Twins53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.7542452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Tigers49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25551334.5%177 W · 336 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4950…0031backed Twins37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1855644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Tigers64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1802835.7%10 W · 18 L-5.9wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-37.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Tigers62c479$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.231,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Tigers63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.193060%18 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Tigers65c461.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5438455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.