MLB · resolved market
Rangers vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9e6658480db73480628630f2250259d64c77710cc924a8255ac2afc6a999cca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Rangers, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $279,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $287,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe785…e106backed Rangers | 47c | 131,034$61,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,564.76 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Royals | 53c | 91,587$48,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,031.41 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Rangers | 47c | 53,186$24,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,997.28 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Royals | 53c | 30,230$16,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,162.53 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Royals | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Rangers | 47c | 19,792$9,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,302.19 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 53c | 17,008$9,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,934.98 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Rangers | 47c | 8,561$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Rangers | 46c | 5,388$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac90…1882backed Rangers | 46c | 5,040$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318.4 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Royals | 54c | 4,290$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.4 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…b3cebacked Royals | 54c | 4,231$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.26 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Royals | 54c | 4,124$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.57 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Rangers | 46c | 4,111$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.06 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Royals | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Royals | 53c | 3,962$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.14 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Rangers | 19c | 3,228$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 263 | 52.1%137 W · 126 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Royals | 56c | 3,100$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rangers | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 1,159 | 49.3%571 W · 588 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals | 53c | 2,466$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.11 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Rangers | 46c | 2,391$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Royals | 71c | 2,155$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.7 | 9,891 | 46.4%4,594 W · 5,297 L | +40.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Royals | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Rangers | 46c | 1,522$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Rangers | 46c | 1,310$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.6 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Rangers | 28c | 1,272$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…6576backed Rangers | 46c | 1,196$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Royals | 53c | 1,145$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.93 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf2…c477backed Rangers | 46c | 1,113$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135a…b4edbacked Royals | 54c | 1,105$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…5d1dbacked Royals | 54c | 1,075$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0814…1f30backed Rangers | 46c | 1,067$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Royals | 74c | 998.88$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.36 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Rangers | 39c | 961.28$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.64 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Royals | 54c | 678.27$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Royals | 55c | 668.69$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.91 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rangers | 46c | 652$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.92 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rangers | 15c | 645$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.37 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…d3a2backed Royals | 54c | 611$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.06 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rangers | 13c | 600.93$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Rangers | 3c | 600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…a0d7backed Royals | 54c | 585$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rangers | 20c | 565.22$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.04 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Rangers | 47c | 532.38$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Royals | 53c | 492.06$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.27 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rangers | 46c | 450$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Royals | 80c | 422.69$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.71 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Royals | 77c | 414.81$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 4,201 | 50.2%2,109 W · 2,092 L | +94.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Rangers | 18c | 384.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.14 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Royals | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 633 | 52.8%334 W · 299 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Royals | 55c | 340.54$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.24 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Royals | 55c | 326.76$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.04 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rangers | 46c | 299.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 3,320 | 46.2%1,535 W · 1,785 L | +22.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…1d65backed Rangers | 39c | 249.82$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.43 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Rangers | 52c | 232$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Royals | 55c | 214.55$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.55 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Rangers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…2e41backed Rangers | 48c | 206.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rangers | 23c | 200.87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Rangers | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 458 | 32.1%147 W · 311 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfef0…1282backed Royals | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Royals | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rangers | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Royals | 54c | 193.21$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.83 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Royals | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Royals | 53c | 186$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 1,420 | 48.9%694 W · 726 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Rangers | 26c | 161.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Rangers | 47c | 150.64$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 1,093 | 46.4%507 W · 586 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Rangers | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Rangers | 15c | 149.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Royals | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Royals | 54c | 117.96$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Royals | 54c | 111$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Rangers | 16c | 109.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Royals | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Rangers | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Royals | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Rangers | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…e87cbacked Royals | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9026…6924backed Rangers | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Royals | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Rangers | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Rangers | 39c | 78.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Rangers | 46c | 69.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,302 | 56.7%738 W · 564 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5355…92bebacked Royals | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783e…f76dbacked Rangers | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Rangers | 46c | 52.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd4…e888backed Royals | 57c | 52.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 36 | 77.8%28 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…5f1abacked Royals | 79c | 50.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c01…26a9backed Rangers | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…1128backed Royals | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…6321backed Rangers | 46c | 49.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ab…a6ebbacked Royals | 55c | 48.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Royals | 65c | 43.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf62…227dbacked Rangers | 46c | 42.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Rangers | 47c | 42.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d6…4be7backed Rangers | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf55b…ac0cbacked Royals | 55c | 40.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.