NFL · resolved market
Patriots vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e3e86945f8b40c18803e12a12083cc872d2dfc62a01fc49479ed084f5ce8bfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giantsof Patriots, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Giants | 67c | 20,000$13,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,599.98 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Patriots | 33c | 16,539$5,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,457.89 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Giants | 67c | 3,595$2,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.39 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Patriots | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…5fe9backed Patriots | 33c | 2,250$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.22 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Giants | 69c | 1,604$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.24 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Giants | 68c | 1,565$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.71 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xada8…b670backed Patriots | 31c | 1,484$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Patriots | 32c | 1,273$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.29 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Patriots | 34c | 1,169$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.32 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Giants | 79c | 1,144$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.72 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Patriots | 21c | 971.02$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.73 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Patriots | 29c | 864.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed Giants | 79c | 840$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.4 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Patriots | 30c | 799.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 121 | 33.9%41 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb25…ce36backed Giants | 69c | 759$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Patriots | 33c | 755.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Patriots | 32c | 736.17$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.78 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb746…08afbacked Giants | 69c | 725$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Giants | 71c | 712.97$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.02 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Patriots | 24c | 659.41$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.62 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Patriots | 24c | 657.32$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.86 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Giants | 71c | 449.97$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.49 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Patriots | 13c | 425.73$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Patriots | 15c | 410.59$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…6759backed Giants | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Giants | 68c | 363$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.16 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…ea3dbacked Patriots | 27c | 359.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbe…fce9backed Patriots | 30c | 330.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Patriots | 30c | 330.54$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Patriots | 31c | 322.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…32bbbacked Giants | 77c | 317.84$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.23 | 148 | 60.8%90 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25a1…67b0backed Giants | 80c | 317.32$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Giants | 70c | 314.4$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.32 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Patriots | 32c | 311.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Patriots | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Giants | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Giants | 77c | 245.65$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x685b…69efbacked Patriots | 33c | 237.61$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Patriots | 20c | 235$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Patriots | 5c | 230$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Giants | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Giants | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Patriots | 21c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Patriots | 28c | 199.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Patriots | 28c | 196.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…a10ebacked Patriots | 28c | 177.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Giants | 70c | 175.01$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63f3…c262backed Patriots | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Patriots | 25c | 171.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Patriots | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…4eddbacked Patriots | 33c | 151$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…3032backed Giants | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Giants | 69c | 141.63$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked Patriots | 28c | 138$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Patriots | 32c | 131.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Giants | 72c | 131.52$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0423…018abacked Patriots | 33c | 122.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Patriots | 33c | 107.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed11…a858backed Patriots | 21c | 102.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Patriots | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Patriots | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Giants | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Giants | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Patriots | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 263 | 31.6%83 W · 180 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Giants | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Patriots | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Giants | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e8…9d12backed Patriots | 33c | 84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Patriots | 30c | 81.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Giants | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Patriots | 15c | 78.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Patriots | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Giants | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Patriots | 32c | 62.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Patriots | 21c | 52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Giants | 68c | 51.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Patriots | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Giants | 70c | 49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…a368backed Patriots | 33c | 41.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3533…6741backed Giants | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…b1cfbacked Giants | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Giants | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Patriots | 32c | 39.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 173 | 59%102 W · 71 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Patriots | 29c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x896b…0a51backed Giants | 73c | 38.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Patriots | 29c | 36.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…b172backed Giants | 70c | 34.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4029…f30abacked Giants | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Patriots | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3f…4ceabacked Giants | 72c | 29.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6755…8972backed Giants | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec0…14babacked Giants | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Giants | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Giants | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe69…c625backed Giants | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Giants | 72c | 16.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe7…4b7ebacked Giants | 68c | 15.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Patriots vs. Giants this page
- Spread: Giants (-6.5)Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.