MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71b09addaedae22c76a3d7b071d54141b5459e07f5c500d72c873fe347594fea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Pirates, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $917,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $943,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $917,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 576 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Pirates | 38c | 658,908$252,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252,803.32 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Brewers | 62c | 311,896$192,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,537.8 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Brewers | 62c | 77,802$48,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,314.51 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Brewers | 62c | 62,229$38,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,856.59 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Brewers | 61c | 51,281$31,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,999.64 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Brewers | 62c | 45,000$27,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,250 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Pirates | 37c | 36,804$13,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,734.88 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Brewers | 62c | 26,500$16,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,020 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Brewers | 61c | 23,938$14,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,335.82 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Pirates | 37c | 20,385$7,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,541.69 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Brewers | 62c | 20,000$12,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Brewers | 63c | 13,052$8,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,872.51 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Brewers | 61c | 12,800$7,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,992 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Brewers | 66c | 11,203$7,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,844.88 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Brewers | 61c | 11,048$6,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,311 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Brewers | 74c | 8,613$6,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271.2 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Brewers | 65c | 7,828$5,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744.78 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 64c | 7,620$4,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,721.4 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Pirates | 39c | 7,478$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,917.97 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb09…baa1backed Pirates | 34c | 5,882$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Pirates | 34c | 5,555$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.63 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Pirates | 17c | 5,457$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.04 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Brewers | 63c | 4,179$2,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.7 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…c905backed Pirates | 34c | 4,118$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Brewers | 63c | 4,000$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brewers | 71c | 3,750$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.83 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Pirates | 35c | 3,690$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.51 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pirates | 32c | 3,687$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.38 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…0357backed Brewers | 66c | 3,486$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d56…c0d8backed Brewers | 66c | 3,485$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…7d1fbacked Brewers | 66c | 3,029$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Brewers | 71c | 2,688$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.56 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Brewers | 66c | 2,273$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.73 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 28c | 2,198$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.47 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Brewers | 61c | 1,972$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.36 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Pirates | 35c | 1,777$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.94 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Brewers | 64c | 1,737$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.57 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf52…7660backed Pirates | 35c | 1,714$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Brewers | 71c | 1,702$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.59 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Brewers | 62c | 1,607$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.62 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7e…7bb1backed Pirates | 35c | 1,600$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…0031backed Pirates | 37c | 1,500$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Brewers | 65c | 1,400$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.99 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pirates | 1c | 1,391$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…032fbacked Brewers | 65c | 1,323$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Brewers | 68c | 1,250$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Brewers | 63c | 1,227$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.46 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6189…1416backed Pirates | 35c | 1,200$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa053…cf80backed Pirates | 35c | 1,200$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Pirates | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Pirates | 11c | 1,104$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Brewers | 70c | 1,098$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.38 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Pirates | 4c | 1,089$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2a…a437backed Brewers | 65c | 1,077$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Pirates | 34c | 1,060$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.39 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Pirates | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Brewers | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Brewers | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Pirates | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Pirates | 34c | 990$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.6 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3c…7892backed Pirates | 35c | 987$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Brewers | 64c | 952.45$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.42 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x135a…b4edbacked Brewers | 65c | 938$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3b…7cf5backed Brewers | 65c | 923$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df4…5161backed Brewers | 65c | 912$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Brewers | 63c | 907$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.3 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Brewers | 65c | 899.98$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…689fbacked Pirates | 35c | 863$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Pirates | 2c | 843.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd32…4893backed Brewers | 65c | 815$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…3641backed Brewers | 65c | 791$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b6…cd1abacked Brewers | 65c | 785$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Pirates | 34c | 750$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Brewers | 64c | 749.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…ad5ebacked Pirates | 38c | 723.68$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Pirates | 34c | 647.95$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.3 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Pirates | 34c | 613.02$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.43 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Brewers | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Pirates | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Pirates | 33c | 599$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Pirates | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Brewers | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Brewers | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Pirates | 36c | 445$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.2 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates | 35c | 430$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Brewers | 73c | 422.19$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.9 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec0…40dabacked Pirates | 3c | 386.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Brewers | 69c | 333.33$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.95 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8b…23d2backed Brewers | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Pirates | 13c | 313.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Pirates | 35c | 308.57$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Brewers | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Brewers | 65c | 307$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.45 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Pirates | 34c | 305.15$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.75 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Brewers | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Brewers | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 32c | 300.02$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Brewers | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pirates | 34c | 299.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.