TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Steelers vs. Panthers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Steelersof Steelers, Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,760
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,988

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,760 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8fba…d08abacked Panthers28c19,829$5,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,558.153036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked Steelers72c12,629$9,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,533.511643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Steelers67c7,548$5,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,453.446245.2%28 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Panthers31c6,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,86018156.9%103 W · 78 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Steelers69c5,514$3,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.9641851.9%217 W · 201 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed Steelers64c4,592$2,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,654.281172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Panthers64c3,622$2,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,327.737557.3%43 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Steelers71c2,493$1,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.8131848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf1…c324backed Steelers72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5602152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Panthers26c1,689$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.7768446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Panthers29c1,400$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40611139.6%44 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Panthers35c1,346$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.819551.3%100 W · 95 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Panthers2c1,331$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.94311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6e…d15bbacked Steelers66c1,200$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea6f…dd06backed Steelers77c1,173$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.13875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Steelers69c1,137$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.4426650.8%135 W · 131 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b2…aa49backed Panthers34c1,100$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Steelers72c1,053$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.2210763.6%68 W · 39 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Panthers28c1,050$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.044226.2%11 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae76…dce5backed Steelers71c929$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.9127339.2%107 W · 166 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd06…73a2backed Panthers34c800$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Panthers32c700.64$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.2113335.3%47 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0e8…fbe3backed Steelers66c700$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Steelers73c673.14$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.7511237.5%42 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Steelers78c669$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.034165.9%27 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Panthers30c666$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.948847.5%232 W · 256 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Panthers33c510.9$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.0931056.8%176 W · 134 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Steelers72c499.93$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.982259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Steelers70c498.33$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2715851.9%82 W · 76 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b9c…e860backed Steelers61c478.76$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Panthers28c430$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.414351%73 W · 70 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Panthers29c401.35$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.351513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-72.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Steelers70c351.47$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.411047.3%52 W · 58 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Panthers29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Panthers26c315$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.898828.4%25 W · 63 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Panthers32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017558.9%103 W · 72 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Panthers32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038459.9%230 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Steelers60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12014945.6%68 W · 81 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Panthers29c299.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873850%19 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Panthers4c280$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.315679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cbe…fce9backed Panthers37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003826.3%10 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb8…536fbacked Panthers42c256.09$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.621414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-63.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed11…a858backed Panthers27c232.71$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.732213.6%3 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-70.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Steelers78c215$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.61758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Panthers27c200$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5328436.3%103 W · 181 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Steelers56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8830743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Panthers30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609633.3%32 W · 64 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0a8…5f1abacked Steelers70c190.37$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.18875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1c9…cf27backed Steelers68c190.27$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.274566.7%30 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Panthers27c185$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9537350.9%190 W · 183 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Steelers75c165.56$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2932050.9%163 W · 157 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Steelers72c165$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.891478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+36%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2838…32bbbacked Steelers76c160$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.314860.8%90 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d97…d431backed Steelers70c157.14$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.142781.5%22 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick65cpaid+28.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xacf7…3032backed Panthers28c150$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe483…b5a0backed Steelers67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2513453.7%72 W · 62 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5555…d3d0backed Steelers72c147.11$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.06966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef3c…f731backed Steelers69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.932642.3%11 W · 15 L-6.1wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-38.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5c68…b1cfbacked Steelers70c143.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.276066.7%40 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb683…61b1backed Steelers70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.865750.9%29 W · 28 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90ca…5830backed Panthers41c133.57$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552825%7 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-46%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6eec…3e48backed Steelers79c124.57$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.574052.5%21 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+39%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Steelers69c115.71$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.118151.9%94 W · 87 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1242…8dfebacked Panthers36c108.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.111573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Panthers21c108.14$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.714553.3%24 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8083…4a0bbacked Panthers11c107.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Panthers30c106.1$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.83545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed Panthers30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Panthers40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4031540.6%128 W · 187 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3095…8e0ebacked Panthers30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Panthers31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3123024.3%56 W · 174 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Panthers31c99.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3126331.6%83 W · 180 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Panthers30c90$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.432347.4%153 W · 170 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Steelers69c86.96$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.965056%28 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Panthers30c84.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511142.3%47 W · 64 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x896b…0a51backed Panthers36c78.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Panthers29c74.65$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.651526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Steelers71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.424452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b7…7a44backed Panthers44c70$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Steelers70c65.71$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7112560.8%76 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91a7…cac6backed Steelers63c63.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.491560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae3f…12fabacked Panthers26c61.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fea…d383backed Steelers75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ee4…b575backed Panthers37c54.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204141.5%17 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8666…a368backed Panthers28c49.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.75147.1%1 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-81.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Steelers75c46.67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6715855.7%88 W · 70 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Steelers77c45.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5264747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed Steelers71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.253455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Panthers33c41.55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5536826.9%99 W · 269 L-17.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4884…9b0abacked Panthers28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.23836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x22b8…7b6ebacked Panthers32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.817060.6%103 W · 67 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Panthers33c37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2112250%61 W · 61 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1be…5409backed Steelers60c36.67$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.67977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+26.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e19…ab82backed Panthers32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…1c7bbacked Panthers32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104650%23 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7552…0f46backed Steelers74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ec0…14babacked Steelers67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.853100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91bc…8facbacked Steelers57c26.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.514772.3%34 W · 13 L+7.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+31.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Steelers72c26.32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.377755.8%43 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x605a…c6debacked Steelers61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.91369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.