MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe47bf4f0e2014bdb07c19d21c771e5a0baec43f83d9e10213258892bc6d10153
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Cubs, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $315,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $442,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $315,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Cubs | 46c | 120,830$55,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,255.42 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Blue Jays | 54c | 92,743$50,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,073.22 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 17,772$9,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,597 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 5,555$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.66 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Blue Jays | 42c | 4,809$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Blue Jays | 47c | 4,260$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.86 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Blue Jays | 25c | 4,094$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Blue Jays | 54c | 3,646$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.1 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Cubs | 62c | 3,583$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.53 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Blue Jays | 54c | 3,286$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.34 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cubs | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760.87 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Cubs | 73c | 2,712$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.24 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 2,648$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Cubs | 66c | 2,624$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.32 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 39c | 2,420$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.32 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Cubs | 58c | 2,398$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.58 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Blue Jays | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed Blue Jays | 28c | 1,806$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.61 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Cubs | 47c | 1,800$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Cubs | 46c | 1,781$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.53 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Cubs | 45c | 1,623$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.63 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Blue Jays | 6c | 1,448$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.89 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Cubs | 79c | 1,349$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.56 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…baefbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 1,077$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 1,051$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cubs | 69c | 1,002$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.96 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cubs | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…74e4backed Blue Jays | 33c | 988.27$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Blue Jays | 27c | 958.11$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.39 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Blue Jays | 43c | 932.91$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Cubs | 44c | 899.96$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.98 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Blue Jays | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Cubs | 44c | 819.99$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.19 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cubs | 45c | 778.9$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.48 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 770$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.5 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Cubs | 55c | 709.99$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.7 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Blue Jays | 46c | 677.01$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.82 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Cubs | 75c | 667.96$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.96 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Blue Jays | 55c | 584.02$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.78 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed Cubs | 45c | 567$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.85 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Cubs | 46c | 555.83$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.15 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Cubs | 44c | 541$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.96 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Cubs | 48c | 521.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.22 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…0d78backed Cubs | 46c | 432.09$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.7 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Cubs | 43c | 424.07$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.72 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cubs | 44c | 419.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.19 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Blue Jays | 23c | 407.52$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.42 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cubs | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.3 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 57c | 393.07$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.37 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays | 39c | 382.79$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.46 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Blue Jays | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Blue Jays | 55c | 363$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.65 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cubs | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cubs | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Cubs | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Cubs | 45c | 297.24$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.48 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 295.91$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cubs | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…cfe5backed Cubs | 57c | 238.52$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.52 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Cubs | 45c | 223$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cubs | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cubs | 45c | 214.69$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.08 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Blue Jays | 49c | 204.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cubs | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cubs | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Cubs | 46c | 191.54$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.43 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Blue Jays | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 181.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Blue Jays | 56c | 179.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Blue Jays | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…71f1backed Blue Jays | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Blue Jays | 55c | 169.09$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Blue Jays | 51c | 152.27$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Cubs | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Cubs | 47c | 149.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…571fbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Blue Jays | 44c | 138.54$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Cubs | 45c | 130$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Blue Jays | 37c | 122.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Blue Jays | 54c | 116$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc839…2930backed Blue Jays | 26c | 105.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4b…d004backed Blue Jays | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Blue Jays | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Cubs | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Blue Jays | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7687…2688backed Cubs | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Blue Jays | 37c | 96.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Cubs | 77c | 91.83$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 122 | 67.2%82 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Cubs | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Cubs | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Blue Jays | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24e…4e87backed Blue Jays | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Blue Jays | 56c | 71.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Blue Jays | 29c | 50.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec0…40dabacked Blue Jays | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Blue Jays | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.