TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canadiens vs. Flyers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Flyersof Canadiens, Flyers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$114,212
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,271

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,212 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0b0e…78ddbacked Canadiens54c30,347$16,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,387.34475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+30.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Flyers46c20,000$9,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,799.9111352.2%59 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Canadiens15c7,444$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.081,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3424…7d5abacked Canadiens54c6,402$3,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,45710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Flyers46c4,155$1,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,243.764242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Flyers46c3,334$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.3630549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Flyers45c3,175$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,734.8424546.1%113 W · 132 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Canadiens52c2,674$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.2992848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Flyers46c2,363$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.3149351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9213…970cbacked Flyers47c2,137$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…e674backed Flyers48c2,131$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7310…e293backed Flyers47c2,125$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Flyers48c2,091$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.627044.3%31 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x079e…599dbacked Canadiens55c1,894$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.52123.8%5 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.25per pick49cpaid-56.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Canadiens33c1,800$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5958145.7%37 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens52c1,741$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.641,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb156…16fdbacked Canadiens23c1,539$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.331241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Flyers75c1,520$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.933,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb876…c723backed Canadiens26c1,473$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.942450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Flyers70c1,413$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.0644848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Flyers45c1,411$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.525340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Flyers51c1,406$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.2858467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x750c…b00abacked Canadiens21c1,380$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.122751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…9eb6backed Canadiens24c1,326$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.331752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1396…b149backed Canadiens56c1,250$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.945648.2%27 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Canadiens53c1,200$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63266951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Flyers45c1,132$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.5975155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Canadiens51c1,010$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.236242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3510…2492backed Canadiens13c1,001$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.154330.2%13 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Canadiens1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf825…c866backed Flyers47c940$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.21758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdaf…1aaebacked Canadiens53c940$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.21241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Canadiens55c922.39$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.3141340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x165d…da41backed Canadiens22c917.26$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.982429.2%7 W · 17 L-5.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-42.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9f0c…18b7backed Canadiens25c910.79$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.741957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b98…41b0backed Canadiens25c823.86$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.692661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfba8…78e6backed Canadiens23c815.47$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.62352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Flyers44c669.04$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.6622842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x625a…681ebacked Canadiens30c663.48$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.212050%10 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec3…1e2bbacked Flyers46c652.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d3…45b3backed Canadiens54c649.44$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Flyers80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12521750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Flyers49c621.01$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.351,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Canadiens54c600$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32120649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Flyers46c545$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.315663.5%99 W · 57 L+17.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Canadiens53c516.09$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.531,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Flyers45c516$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.9279251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18dc…6e79backed Canadiens17c465.04$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.212653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe862…7d6bbacked Canadiens54c463.9$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509955.6%55 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Flyers45c438.95$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.426850%34 W · 34 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfc…6858backed Flyers76c359.79$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.353100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5240backed Canadiens27c354.77$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.32240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Flyers76c349.98$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.998350.6%42 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Flyers47c330.63$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.3137738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e25…ff35backed Canadiens55c301.27$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.7425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-66.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Flyers47c295.29$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.9384051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Flyers67c283.14$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2185464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc39d…d87fbacked Canadiens20c251.41$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.051926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Canadiens55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.521255.7%118 W · 94 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x487f…30babacked Canadiens53c250$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.52733.3%9 W · 18 L-5.8wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-42.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcf64…7e54backed Flyers47c250$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.52669.2%18 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+55%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa3b3…a278backed Canadiens45c224.49$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-51.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc7…205fbacked Canadiens56c218.98$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Flyers45c213$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.260549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Flyers48c208.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.781,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Canadiens8c206.06$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.591334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Canadiens30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010127.7%28 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Canadiens55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11011951.3%61 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Canadiens53c199.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9950857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bcb…a78fbacked Canadiens18c192.64$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.922458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xccd2…26aebacked Flyers47c168$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.04988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.39per pick49cpaid+81.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xdbfb…c4e8backed Canadiens54c168$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.721154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3296…8d88backed Canadiens54c168$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.72955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f05…6bd8backed Flyers47c168$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.881060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58ac…4bdabacked Flyers46c164$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.56757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb805…b096backed Canadiens55c164$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67ed…085abacked Flyers46c162$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.48757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6002…19f5backed Canadiens56c162$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.72771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+38.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fb4…e810backed Canadiens55c161.82$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24d2…309abacked Flyers46c140.76$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.01540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7504…5fb3backed Flyers46c131.89$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32a2…0033backed Canadiens55c127.07$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8940%0 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdec9…1795backed Canadiens55c127.05$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.88520%1 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.45per pick65cpaid-75%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x55bb…452dbacked Canadiens55c120.33$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.182157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c6d…cd41backed Canadiens55c119.44$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6920%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe891…75dabacked Flyers46c118.83$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.171442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Canadiens54c112.89$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9651044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f4…0336backed Flyers46c109.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.411248.2%54 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad93…c030backed Canadiens55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607251.4%37 W · 35 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Flyers46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.71,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0dd…e156backed Canadiens55c107.62$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.192240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Canadiens52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5281846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Flyers80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.417054.7%93 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Flyers46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5450049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x732d…0619backed Flyers46c99.8$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.89650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d0…6ed6backed Flyers46c98.43$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.151533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-34.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x71bb…9860backed Flyers46c98.41$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.14757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec16…07f9backed Canadiens55c98.18$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a35…4e10backed Flyers46c94.78$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.182347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25b0…586bbacked Canadiens55c94.55$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.