TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Bulls

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bullsof Hawks, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$160,288
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$171,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,288 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 358 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed Bulls75c16,165$12,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,079.0715056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Bulls46c9,952$4,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,374.3329738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Hawks50c9,002$4,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,462.4265642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Hawks14c7,486$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.819437.2%35 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Hawks38c6,593$2,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,503.5970147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f14…b199backed Hawks0c6,409$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203737.8%14 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Hawks53c4,967$2,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,632.7630443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Hawks53c4,506$2,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,375.6976249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ccf…69d7backed Hawks45c3,406$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,532.7475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76b…0956backed Bulls55c3,406$1,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Bulls47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.8859653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac6…a6cebacked Bulls47c2,336$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.172536%9 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x54c2…e299backed Hawks54c2,335$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2612254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Hawks1c2,188$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.221,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6aa…d2f5backed Bulls48c2,053$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.122119%4 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.18per pick37cpaid-66.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Hawks34c1,956$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.3559646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Hawks19c1,893$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.5861532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Bulls45c1,809$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.8372341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…73b8backed Hawks41c1,726$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7006533.8%22 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Hawks1c1,676$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.864573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Hawks53c1,471$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.581668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a70…52ccbacked Bulls77c1,454$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.83683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a4f…79fbbacked Hawks54c1,385$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7482231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdc88…681abacked Bulls47c1,385$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.112142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8734…2e6cbacked Hawks53c1,281$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.881250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8823…4c34backed Bulls50c1,257$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.441844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958e…1a56backed Bulls48c1,200$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6241136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Bulls44c1,173$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.7947656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dfb…48a2backed Hawks53c1,066$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.861457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Bulls48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa431…677fbacked Hawks11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1108417.9%15 W · 69 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-64.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9454…6d22backed Hawks52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5202748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Bulls46c999.91$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.957354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed Hawks53c975.53$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.038043.8%35 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9541…3b71backed Bulls48c943.75$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.753644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaad2…f7acbacked Hawks56c926.01$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.27520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-59.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecb1…4ae4backed Hawks7c901.18$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.346435.9%23 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Hawks31c893.34$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.6129043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb75…fba0backed Hawks54c881.26$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.2840%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Hawks47c875.07$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.0985347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Hawks49c821.17$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.9812247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab68…1bb1backed Hawks1c813.95$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015911.9%19 W · 140 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d63…abe5backed Bulls47c763.89$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.86850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Hawks54c746.84$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.9621649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Hawks58c730.99$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.9719350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Hawks39c719.35$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9517244.2%76 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hawks36c642.68$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.461,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ec9…8a96backed Bulls47c636.83$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.521070%7 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+119.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d54…2386backed Hawks53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004456.8%25 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5679…d458backed Bulls47c531.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.9115646.2%72 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fdd…0b07backed Hawks44c531.05$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.6910334%35 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb6…7245backed Hawks24c520.83$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12515034%51 W · 99 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Bulls48c499.94$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.4729148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa55a…32e3backed Hawks22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004341.9%18 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7961…2da2backed Hawks52c440.97$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.242326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.9wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-35.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3c5b…50c9backed Hawks35c420$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1477024.3%17 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df6…5d25backed Bulls47c408.51$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.51850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Hawks52c384.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0437954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Hawks53c370.43$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.338952.8%47 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks24c350$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04a…824ebacked Bulls46c339.08$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.536829.4%20 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93cc…f41cbacked Hawks55c329.09$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x335f…b13ebacked Bulls46c328.57$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.43683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+57.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Hawks13c307.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016617.5%29 W · 137 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4936…318bbacked Hawks53c306.13$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.251942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Bulls53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14136057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Bulls44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1681,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc6…c3e4backed Bulls61c265$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.35757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7670…2524backed Bulls46c263.04$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+46.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6cd…f75dbacked Hawks55c262.94$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.45850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6459…c926backed Bulls46c260$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.26634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x624e…1588backed Bulls48c254.08$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.121471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7742…03e9backed Hawks33c250$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.519939.2%78 W · 121 L-17.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls45c249.88$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.436,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6365…460ebacked Hawks56c248.65$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d4…02d0backed Bulls46c247.83$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b03…14e7backed Hawks56c246.29$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83cf…8060backed Bulls46c246.28$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.994100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfba5…d382backed Bulls46c230.15$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+46.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9609…4b33backed Hawks56c228.97$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.22425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56a5…47dcbacked Hawks56c219.79$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.19540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x512b…014abacked Bulls46c219.57$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.57475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+63.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dc3…6de1backed Bulls47c215.33$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.33475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+64.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ac4…e9e9backed Hawks56c215.07$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.44450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Bulls48c210.21$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.3138132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3462…d3d2backed Bulls48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3310153.5%54 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Bulls49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0847357.9%274 W · 199 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Hawks50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008343.4%36 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Bulls46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.511143.2%48 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Bulls46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10816443.3%71 W · 93 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Bulls43c199.73$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.8520233.7%68 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Hawks55c198.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7945251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe818…43e7backed Hawks54c198.87$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0639…7d57backed Bulls47c198.72$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.32862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ff…c139backed Bulls48c197.92$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.921560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd2…5e2abacked Hawks40c196.97$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.794727.7%13 W · 34 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd5cb…3ffbbacked Hawks53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Bulls49c187$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.3734644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Hawks54c180$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.950047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Hawks53c174.62$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5527735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.