TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Magic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Magicof 76ers, Magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$273,231
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$286,045

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,231 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 743 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fa3…dc66backed Magic33c13,390$4,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,963.16943.5%30 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed 76ers43c12,139$5,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,274.1933752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed 76ers64c11,755$7,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,564.8947656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Magic49c5,854$2,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,984.430443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfff8…d95bbacked 76ers44c5,029$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.95650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b30…d81bbacked 76ers47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,350714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-45.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa527…b702backed 76ers53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,650540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6869…2650backed 76ers52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf7d3…3c57backed 76ers52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b25…8208backed Magic46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7003100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+121.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd93…cbb9backed Magic46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,700450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+58.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a6…71f9backed Magic48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,600633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2b…23d7backed Magic48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,600540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac58…b485backed 76ers54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,700333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd02d…ac41backed Magic47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,650560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+81.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58ff…cb1cbacked 76ers52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60030%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3fa…7bb6backed 76ers54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90f8…5a3fbacked Magic47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,650862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick31cpaid+102.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x39ed…c73dbacked Magic53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,350887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick68cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34a9…cb73backed Magic48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6003100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+198.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x60c8…31bcbacked 76ers53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,650728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.38per pick67cpaid-60.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x11e0…734dbacked Magic56c3,583$2,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,576.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers39c3,500$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3601,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31cf…8834backed 76ers43c3,149$1,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353.914348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5553…2567backed Magic55c2,609$1,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.121338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+64.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb63…33d8backed 76ers44c2,609$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.071330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cfb…df99backed 76ers19c2,562$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.674637%17 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked 76ers41c2,356$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.4265642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb3d…1ea4backed Magic55c2,077$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.595100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+79.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb09…baa1backed Magic50c2,044$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x195e…569cbacked 76ers50c2,031$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.5320%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0312…b9f0backed Magic50c2,031$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+238.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1475…e632backed Magic45c2,014$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.691752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7f1…c67fbacked 76ers45c2,008$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Magic55c2,000$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.9940448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4483…46d2backed 76ers46c1,961$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9023053.3%16 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+74%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x59ef…0a27backed Magic56c1,961$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.712556%14 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x358e…bdb6backed 76ers45c1,950$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7106…fb79backed Magic57c1,932$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.766955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e06…dd7fbacked 76ers50c1,915$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb4d…a21fbacked Magic55c1,882$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x432d…a2d4backed Magic74c1,783$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.473447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked 76ers50c1,745$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.6446131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda03…fa78backed Magic54c1,542$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.181650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed 76ers2c1,497$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.811,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcde3…bdaebacked Magic56c1,446$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.39540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf374…ce1abacked 76ers54c1,425$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.643050%15 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a4f…79fbbacked 76ers46c1,263$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5812231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6ac6…a6cebacked Magic57c1,261$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.42536%9 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6434…cdbebacked Magic41c1,205$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.53732.4%12 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked 76ers48c1,186$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.8872341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5380…28debacked 76ers51c1,051$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.7914852.7%78 W · 70 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bff…91aabacked 76ers40c1,021$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Magic55c1,000$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.6531347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Magic50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8326…da54backed 76ers44c999.99$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.991346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed42…7718backed Magic45c999.93$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.96633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c1…1215backed Magic56c895.75$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.134250%21 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe897…513ebacked 76ers15c888.09$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1333151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef3b…5cefbacked Magic55c774.15$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.383450%17 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef45…79a7backed 76ers46c761.88$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03d9…37bebacked Magic56c750$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba2…18a5backed Magic25c740$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5559130.8%28 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Magic57c700$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30112154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Magic46c659.43$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.421,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Magic26c659.33$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.5925939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed 76ers46c627.96$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.8827731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f52…c254backed 76ers48c626.83$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.523652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecd3…8752backed 76ers46c601$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.4630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c79…d3b3backed Magic55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2702100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfda0…e18abacked Magic50c596.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.565240.4%21 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fe5…500fbacked Magic52c576.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.949431.9%30 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59c8…2ab4backed 76ers45c573.82$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.62616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-70.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed 76ers44c568.18$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25012451.6%64 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7feb…6be7backed Magic53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.041662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Magic77c549.8$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.4536057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77a1…fbe0backed 76ers44c541.95$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.461050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fd…29e5backed 76ers29c517$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.93650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Magic73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13523548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked 76ers43c499.95$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.9812247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa39…b3c5backed 76ers44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009724.7%24 W · 73 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed 76ers44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021338%81 W · 132 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked 76ers50c436.97$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.3885347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed 76ers50c431.67$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.736141%25 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf9b…fe0fbacked 76ers4c400$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513611.8%16 W · 120 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79ee…ae97backed Magic53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.364837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b74…a4f4backed 76ers14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502528%7 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a0…3d33backed Magic57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.882842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Magic57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8823646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed 76ers47c325$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.520233.7%68 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd31…f196backed Magic56c322.83$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.383148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Magic53c316.78$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.4619642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked 76ers56c309.17$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.145347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5679…d458backed 76ers50c302$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015646.2%72 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32e8…b92abacked Magic57c286.53$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.982152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x854b…a53bbacked 76ers46c279.98$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.791060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x934b…ee6fbacked Magic55c279.71$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.87977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+47.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e6c…d4dabacked Magic56c264.75$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.493145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+16.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x710c…ee60backed 76ers79c253.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010054%54 W · 46 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6d1…5c0dbacked 76ers46c249.89$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.95633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-33.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.