NFL · resolved market
Colts vs. Patriots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbf84cb61acd00222a5b1192377b73785f8864f4066d9b2669e1f98b21af01d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coltsof Colts, Patriots
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $268,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 393 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Patriots | 70c | 47,798$33,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,604.51 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Colts | 27c | 27,776$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,276.61 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Colts | 50c | 19,500$9,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,709.99 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Patriots | 43c | 16,413$7,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,116.71 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Patriots | 44c | 13,639$6,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,001.21 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Patriots | 1c | 12,357$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.57 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Colts | 55c | 11,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.95 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Patriots | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.94 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Colts | 56c | 8,865$4,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900.6 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…c487backed Patriots | 45c | 6,685$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.6 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.7wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x030e…20ebbacked Patriots | 0c | 4,972$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed Patriots | 44c | 4,749$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.6 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Colts | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Colts | 43c | 3,336$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.67 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb31…dc5cbacked Colts | 37c | 2,501$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.12 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…d13ebacked Patriots | 46c | 2,108$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb38…ae5fbacked Colts | 54c | 2,108$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Colts | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.93 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Colts | 56c | 1,979$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.78 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…ef00backed Patriots | 44c | 1,903$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Colts | 17c | 1,312$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.7 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Colts | 45c | 1,190$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.65 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e1…69a4backed Patriots | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Patriots | 6c | 1,111$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.74 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Patriots | 71c | 1,036$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78da…9d47backed Colts | 62c | 1,017$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.29 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Colts | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a3…d687backed Colts | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…7e9ebacked Colts | 57c | 872.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.35 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Colts | 43c | 856.96$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.21 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Colts | 57c | 850.88$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.88 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Patriots | 45c | 828.13$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.82 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce54…90bcbacked Colts | 57c | 795.74$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.17 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4400…65bbbacked Patriots | 44c | 795.45$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Patriots | 40c | 733.44$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.17 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Colts | 63c | 713.94$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.94 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Patriots | 47c | 708$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.46 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Patriots | 43c | 700$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…32b4backed Patriots | 57c | 699.97$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Patriots | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c9…b44ebacked Colts | 50c | 606.41$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…b3c5backed Patriots | 41c | 578$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.63 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Colts | 56c | 550$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Patriots | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Colts | 70c | 491.53$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.46 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Colts | 58c | 476$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.92 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Patriots | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed Colts | 54c | 444$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.24 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Colts | 21c | 442.51$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.75 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Colts | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Patriots | 42c | 419.88$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.35 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df2…29cebacked Colts | 43c | 418.13$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.58 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e44…79c9backed Colts | 39c | 411.88$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Colts | 24c | 399.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.99 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Colts | 50c | 393.81$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.91 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…13c4backed Colts | 57c | 376.46$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.88 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf20c…42f0backed Colts | 27c | 370.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Patriots | 45c | 368.89$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbc…2565backed Patriots | 44c | 339.77$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…b1b3backed Patriots | 48c | 314$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…2ba9backed Colts | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +108.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…b6ccbacked Patriots | 49c | 300$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Colts | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0691…c192backed Patriots | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked Colts | 31c | 299.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.99 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Patriots | 43c | 299.97$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Colts | 57c | 290$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.7 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3292…9a8abacked Colts | 57c | 281.35$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.98 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Colts | 63c | 253.42$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.42 | 127 | 60.6%77 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93b0…69c8backed Patriots | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.21 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Patriots | 51c | 234$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.1 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd51…0aebbacked Patriots | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc8…951abacked Colts | 57c | 228.29$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.41 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedd5…63a1backed Patriots | 44c | 227.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 158 | 58.9%93 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…4e43backed Patriots | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2f…f304backed Colts | 57c | 222.89$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.84 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Colts | 47c | 220$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.95 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…294cbacked Patriots | 41c | 219$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.79 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Patriots | 50c | 218.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Colts | 49c | 215$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.63 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbae…9395backed Colts | 58c | 204.07$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Colts | 49c | 203.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.32 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Colts | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Patriots | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 45.7%69 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e7…8883backed Colts | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +44%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13b7…3f92backed Colts | 57c | 198.14$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1046…ffd0backed Patriots | 44c | 198.07$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…c781backed Colts | 52c | 179.53$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.9 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Colts | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc828…8304backed Colts | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Colts | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f5…f630backed Colts | 56c | 170.21$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.21 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Patriots | 40c | 167.04$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Colts | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa344…076abacked Colts | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1129…b1debacked Patriots | 38c | 154.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3809…4391backed Patriots | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa586…86f5backed Patriots | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92dd…d924backed Patriots | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…4a22backed Colts | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.