MLB · resolved market
Dodgers vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69e2a9fee934d4414981e559e3b3fcb14605bbb93d15063a1df55488083c4830
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Dodgers, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf90d…0b4dbacked Guardians | 40c | 9,591$3,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,764.6 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Dodgers | 60c | 8,392$5,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,035.43 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Guardians | 40c | 5,786$2,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.26 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dodgers | 46c | 4,580$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.21 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Dodgers | 60c | 4,506$2,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,704.2 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…070fbacked Dodgers | 58c | 3,849$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.74 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 11c | 3,502$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,118.71 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Guardians | 39c | 3,098$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.51 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe94…7bb6backed Dodgers | 4c | 2,666$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.75 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Guardians | 38c | 2,435$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.48 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Guardians | 39c | 2,006$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.66 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…322bbacked Dodgers | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0602…6677backed Guardians | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 52cpaid | +64%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…39e3backed Guardians | 39c | 1,985$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.85 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Guardians | 32c | 1,763$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.95 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898c…716dbacked Guardians | 42c | 1,762$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…27c9backed Guardians | 62c | 1,662$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.62 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Guardians | 37c | 1,429$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.49 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Guardians | 38c | 1,021$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.02 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be8…8df9backed Dodgers | 58c | 1,017$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Guardians | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Guardians | 41c | 999.87$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.93 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Dodgers | 57c | 991.23$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe168…0f95backed Dodgers | 58c | 983$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…fbfdbacked Dodgers | 58c | 950$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2377…5547backed Guardians | 42c | 900$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…d35bbacked Dodgers | 58c | 884$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2192…b0cabacked Dodgers | 58c | 878$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Dodgers | 61c | 791.61$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.31 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Guardians | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Guardians | 42c | 747.38$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.83 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers | 57c | 723.9$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.81 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Guardians | 44c | 704.55$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.55 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Guardians | 38c | 703.69$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.29 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Dodgers | 58c | 700.31$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Dodgers | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Dodgers | 25c | 649.73$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Dodgers | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Guardians | 40c | 625$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Dodgers | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…097ebacked Guardians | 42c | 550$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Dodgers | 3c | 510$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa342…222fbacked Dodgers | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Guardians | 34c | 449.83$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.3 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Dodgers | 65c | 444.62$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.37 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Dodgers | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f43…fab3backed Guardians | 54c | 393.61$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Dodgers | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Guardians | 35c | 337.4$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.85 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers | 60c | 313.36$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.41 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Dodgers | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Dodgers | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 58c | 259.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Guardians | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Dodgers | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Dodgers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Dodgers | 62c | 196.77$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Dodgers | 52c | 183.8$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dodgers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Dodgers | 72c | 141.2$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.34 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Guardians | 42c | 136.14$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Guardians | 42c | 119.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.41 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Guardians | 42c | 117.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.91 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a17…0301backed Guardians | 43c | 115.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Guardians | 17c | 114.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ff…032abacked Guardians | 43c | 110.67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1e…9edfbacked Guardians | 42c | 110.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Guardians | 31c | 109.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.84 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Guardians | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Guardians | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Dodgers | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Dodgers | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Guardians | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Guardians | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Guardians | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Dodgers | 48c | 94.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.07 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68b…8f12backed Dodgers | 59c | 91.39$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Dodgers | 41c | 89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…e7edbacked Dodgers | 53c | 84.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe295…f556backed Dodgers | 59c | 84.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Dodgers | 62c | 84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7287backed Dodgers | 59c | 83.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6a…06b7backed Guardians | 43c | 83.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Dodgers | 70c | 82.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33ef…0348backed Guardians | 43c | 82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7806…a13ebacked Dodgers | 59c | 79.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…c6b7backed Dodgers | 59c | 79.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15a5…63a5backed Dodgers | 59c | 79.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Dodgers | 62c | 78.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…1106backed Dodgers | 67c | 75.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…784abacked Dodgers | 60c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…62a1backed Guardians | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Dodgers | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…77d9backed Dodgers | 58c | 67.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Guardians | 45c | 67.42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…a4edbacked Dodgers | 62c | 65.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Guardians | 43c | 65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Dodgers | 60c | 59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3065…8880backed Guardians | 43c | 58.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.