MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda48ecf5ad9c76223101a9d9f5e0089fdd95689c4ba4b0ccf950a158dc5de677
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twinsof Twins, Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Twins | 50c | 20,032$10,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,018.32 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Reds | 50c | 17,617$8,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,820.97 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Reds | 19c | 13,725$2,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,607.77 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Reds | 10c | 6,976$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.62 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Reds | 52c | 5,771$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Twins | 71c | 4,785$3,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.23 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…ea41backed Reds | 21c | 4,526$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.36per pick | 58cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Reds | 52c | 4,198$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,174.83 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Reds | 24c | 4,108$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9dd0backed Reds | 59c | 4,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 69c | 3,540$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.81 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Twins | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.96 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins | 49c | 2,982$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.72 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Twins | 71c | 2,938$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.26 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Twins | 48c | 2,696$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.72 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Reds | 18c | 2,430$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…bb1ebacked Reds | 51c | 2,410$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcffc…30b8backed Twins | 49c | 2,410$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee5…eb3fbacked Reds | 51c | 2,370$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bed…2d4cbacked Twins | 49c | 2,369$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Twins | 47c | 2,314$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.25 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Reds | 9c | 2,046$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.27 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Reds | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Twins | 49c | 1,951$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.26 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Twins | 72c | 1,924$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.82 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Reds | 18c | 1,915$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.59 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Reds | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Twins | 49c | 1,840$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.58 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Reds | 51c | 1,638$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.38 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Reds | 46c | 1,570$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.58 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Reds | 50c | 1,512$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Reds | 2c | 1,487$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Reds | 3c | 1,315$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Reds | 2c | 1,121$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Reds | 51c | 1,072$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.82 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…07e0backed Reds | 48c | 1,050$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.43 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Twins | 49c | 1,021$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.04 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Reds | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Reds | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Reds | 8c | 999.36$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 14c | 995.85$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.59 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Reds | 51c | 980.34$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.97 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf7…b626backed Twins | 49c | 903$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.53 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaf…1aaebacked Reds | 51c | 903$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Reds | 43c | 772.39$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Twins | 58c | 762$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.85 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Reds | 5c | 749$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Reds | 23c | 735.02$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.35 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Twins | 63c | 712.62$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.68 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Reds | 8c | 700$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…9272backed Reds | 47c | 670.58$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.02 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Reds | 51c | 594.17$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Reds | 20c | 508.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Reds | 11c | 508.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Reds | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Reds | 8c | 500$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Reds | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Reds | 6c | 400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Reds | 28c | 400$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Twins | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Reds | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4067…9795backed Twins | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Twins | 4c | 287.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.89 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Reds | 27c | 286.23$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Reds | 51c | 278.43$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd3…8757backed Reds | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Twins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Twins | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Twins | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Reds | 50c | 197.41$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Twins | 73c | 193.54$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9171…a0c6backed Reds | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 53c | 189.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Reds | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…3ee6backed Twins | 44c | 137.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.57 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Twins | 77c | 130.15$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Twins | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Twins | 50c | 121.78$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95bc…b4afbacked Reds | 51c | 109.9$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0e…767abacked Twins | 50c | 109.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Twins | 47c | 107.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Reds | 52c | 104.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Twins | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Twins | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…a3cabacked Twins | 49c | 99.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Reds | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Twins | 48c | 95.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Twins | 49c | 95.35$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a4…932dbacked Reds | 53c | 94.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Reds | 32c | 94.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d27…f6cfbacked Reds | 14c | 90.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Reds | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Reds | 51c | 89.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Reds | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Twins | 48c | 83.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Twins | 49c | 80.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Reds | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb049…947fbacked Reds | 62c | 62.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.