TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Red Wings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wildof Wild, Red Wings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,941
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,813

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,941 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40e3…0787backed Wild26c27,813$7,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,614.0932331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x549f…c945backed Red Wings71c26,121$18,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,504.11250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa8…59ebbacked Red Wings53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,65030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6593…d4a3backed Wild47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6503100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Red Wings73c5,000$3,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6505858.6%34 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-15.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed Wild55c4,901$2,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,227.011675%12 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+65.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5e6c…d4dabacked Wild47c4,792$2,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.25633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2440…bf2ebacked Wild11c4,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,560366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+290.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Wild45c3,109$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.7120751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcbf8…4d76backed Red Wings54c2,773$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.03650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Wild45c2,007$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.8229847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Wild48c1,696$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.531,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings50c1,616$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.461,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Red Wings52c1,553$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.997651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bc1…4534backed Red Wings52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a27…b9ddbacked Wild48c1,498$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.951758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Wild8c1,425$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.192528%7 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-3.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Wild45c1,192$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.7284051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Wild27c1,077$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.54812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-53.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Red Wings55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Wild25c943.51$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.0644848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Red Wings55c864.99$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.7522842.5%97 W · 131 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Wild6c833.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.3321620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Red Wings69c824.17$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.53,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31b7…bde1backed Red Wings53c751.66$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.333641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4407…8f2bbacked Wild46c652.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.172948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Red Wings50c622$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.1649351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Wild44c606.82$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.8218136.5%66 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20b1…f45cbacked Wild27c549.1$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.7540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Wild29c492.75$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.44831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Wild48c481.98$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.6375155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4329…ba41backed Wild44c457.18$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.02666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Red Wings70c435.97$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.715633.9%19 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Wild19c420$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34254418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Red Wings53c416.54$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.6979251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9e2…721bbacked Wild48c411.05$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.191283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+43.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xae36…0dc6backed Wild45c399.52$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.96246.8%29 W · 33 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Wild42c337.77$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.9172847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Red Wings48c327.48$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.6225340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xedfa…a3f5backed Wild27c300$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Wild41c299.87$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.9381846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Wild16c281.47$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.285464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4801…c43cbacked Wild10c257.1$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+900%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf816…982dbacked Red Wings52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8f7…f347backed Wild49c244.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Wild49c239.51$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.154452.3%23 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x678c…3c02backed Red Wings57c228.32$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Wild10c212.67$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.2218237.9%69 W · 113 L+29.4wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+202.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Wild48c211.98$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11072444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x541e…e793backed Wild49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wild51c197.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.061,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Red Wings51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007044.3%31 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Wild49c196$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9624457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c7…7574backed Wild33c195.87$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.93475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+71.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x405f…f85cbacked Wild37c195.43$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.95666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+52.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c4…a0b3backed Red Wings76c194.25$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.632661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Wild52c192.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6438040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb65d…3757backed Red Wings52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-41.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Wild19c188.7$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.5258467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xc026…a55ebacked Wild41c184.51$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b04…7829backed Wild53c183.55$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe52…6185backed Wild33c182.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.05683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick47cpaid+87.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc84…bbddbacked Wild28c165.14$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid+18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wild21c164.41$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.5891334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5f4…a015backed Wild49c152.97$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+43.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a8…019ebacked Wild42c150$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x566c…a639backed Red Wings58c150$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x322b…ee8bbacked Wild39c137.66$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3831…a86abacked Red Wings57c133.54$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.71040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2299…910fbacked Red Wings78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3ea…a790backed Wild39c118.15$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.36425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Red Wings68c113.63$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5911365.5%74 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf92…37eabacked Red Wings56c111.42$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622544%11 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Red Wings65c107.64$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708644.2%38 W · 48 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Red Wings60c105.54$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.321450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Red Wings53c103.98$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0960549.3%298 W · 307 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe554…044ebacked Wild46c102.17$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.17450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f10…bf5abacked Wild49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.042853.6%15 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Red Wings53c101.92$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0286649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Wild50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5020540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Red Wings55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510147.5%48 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad98…7a3fbacked Wild56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Wild45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5527643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Wild36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642540%10 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986e…f3cdbacked Red Wings52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce82…b55dbacked Wild49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcef6…4641backed Red Wings51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502931%9 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa66e…eecbbacked Wild44c96.57$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4846…4f12backed Red Wings55c91.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Wild22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.913324.2%8 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdad8…8fd0backed Red Wings55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba3c…fa5dbacked Wild49c87.22$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Red Wings52c84.66$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.073243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb006…0b13backed Wild49c84.1$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.89580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+71.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50e3…2d93backed Red Wings52c83.92$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.64475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+81.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e06…4901backed Wild49c83.67$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85bd…5bbdbacked Red Wings52c83.65$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61c5…eea9backed Wild42c81.42$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.54450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked Wild46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.215730.6%48 W · 109 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e3d…9321backed Red Wings52c79.23$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.240%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.