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MLB · resolved market

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dodgersof Dodgers, Diamondbacks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$135,075
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$140,739

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,075 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf980…6528backed Diamondbacks49c25,339$12,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,405.3511746.2%54 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Dodgers48c20,051$9,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,426.4327948.4%135 W · 144 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ed…16f3backed Diamondbacks53c15,000$7,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,891.882958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks34c12,990$4,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,478.522,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Diamondbacks52c12,706$6,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,607.316551.5%85 W · 80 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Dodgers51c9,569$4,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,688.721,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Dodgers47c9,416$4,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,990.4941850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Dodgers51c9,349$4,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,587.9914648.6%71 W · 75 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Dodgers55c8,772$4,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,964.231,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Dodgers50c3,776$1,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,896.741,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Dodgers47c3,201$1,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.2115745.2%71 W · 86 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8acf…0dcebacked Diamondbacks52c2,757$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.541136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Dodgers46c2,366$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.3710746.7%50 W · 57 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc84…3e67backed Dodgers45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.226645.5%30 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Diamondbacks52c1,423$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.9650852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Diamondbacks43c1,105$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.121,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Dodgers60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Dodgers54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46051151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Diamondbacks48c985.41$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.11,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Dodgers51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3914966.4%99 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4447…a0e7backed Dodgers57c954.33$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.747451.4%38 W · 36 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Dodgers44c911.09$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.092330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x674d…def3backed Dodgers50c848.72$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.1614444.4%64 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Diamondbacks38c789.98$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021356.3%120 W · 93 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Dodgers48c784.13$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.8231248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers54c762.06$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.289,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Dodgers49c709.84$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.8386751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Dodgers30c708.13$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.02944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Dodgers51c688.88$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.5573352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Diamondbacks51c678.07$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.6568656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Dodgers63c518$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.181,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Dodgers61c515$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.642,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers50c481.14$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.092,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Dodgers19c450$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3661,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Dodgers49c408.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.0630842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20026651.1%136 W · 130 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff5c…ccbdbacked Dodgers48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.520448.5%99 W · 105 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Dodgers58c270.86$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.980955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0e…5b17backed Dodgers38c264.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.612646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Diamondbacks37c247.08$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4251334.5%177 W · 336 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Dodgers51c228.6$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.0123545.5%107 W · 128 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dodgers48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.332,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Dodgers24c208.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.3317930.2%54 W · 125 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.332,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e6f…0142backed Dodgers48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3312549.6%62 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Dodgers48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10493240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…73e6backed Dodgers49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10214539.3%57 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Diamondbacks32c194.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4592754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Dodgers51c179.05$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7337649.5%186 W · 190 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Dodgers68c177.22$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1197950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Dodgers51c163$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8743250.7%219 W · 213 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a9e…f27abacked Diamondbacks53c143.98$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.314854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce02…f887backed Diamondbacks59c120.1$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Diamondbacks52c115.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6052542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe300…f71abacked Dodgers55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.091942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Dodgers55c107.09$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1934264.3%220 W · 122 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bac…e61bbacked Dodgers48c103.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.83540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f36…4e9cbacked Dodgers49c102.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2113254.5%72 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf8c…4bc2backed Dodgers49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.042245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb20e…022bbacked Dodgers49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.042657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2310…8537backed Dodgers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c9d…2034backed Dodgers48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Diamondbacks45c92.73$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.731,35850.8%690 W · 668 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Diamondbacks50c82$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.611,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Dodgers48c75.01$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8122946.3%106 W · 123 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Dodgers36c70.41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4117744.1%78 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x235a…2e57backed Diamondbacks52c69.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.412548%60 W · 65 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Diamondbacks74c67.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028453.9%153 W · 131 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Dodgers47c62$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8651955.3%287 W · 232 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x991f…979dbacked Diamondbacks54c61.11$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Dodgers48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0894455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Dodgers48c50.63$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.332,05053.8%1,103 W · 947 L+33.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Dodgers49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.546753.7%251 W · 216 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Dodgers49c49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.991,05550.3%531 W · 524 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ea…f807backed Diamondbacks46c48.07$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.11616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x887a…c417backed Dodgers55c47.91$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.566100%6 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4ece…3893backed Dodgers49c46.6$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf391…73c3backed Diamondbacks54c44.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2429552.2%154 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddcf…d49ebacked Dodgers47c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.794955.1%27 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c88…5685backed Dodgers50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207753.2%41 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7fe…e238backed Dodgers51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x817a…d5d7backed Dodgers55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5faf…a1d1backed Dodgers55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc026…3584backed Dodgers47c36.17$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.17425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Diamondbacks52c34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.687651.3%39 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Dodgers54c31.48$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4874356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Dodgers48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.620954.5%114 W · 95 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x265d…5329backed Dodgers75c28.1$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.17659.2%45 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2348…4a98backed Dodgers54c27.96$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.962259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Dodgers49c27.55$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0555152.5%289 W · 262 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77d6…4fd2backed Dodgers56c27.29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0111058.2%64 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x486c…6ee0backed Dodgers47c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.25683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+58.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Dodgers50c23.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8843542.1%183 W · 252 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb24…ab70backed Diamondbacks52c23.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Diamondbacks72c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.440629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.