Movies · resolved market
Will Zoe Saldaña win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cf69cd74ea8aa61d735ffec8437b60f1986c231840a907fc6f3f2a8b729b231
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 8c | 8,325$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.28 | 179 | 9.5%17 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 10c | 5,046$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.34 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed No | 8c | 4,971$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.39 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22d3…5e3abacked No | 7c | 4,659$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.13 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd031…7d2ebacked No | 9c | 4,474$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.01 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed No | 9c | 3,679$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.56 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked No | 11c | 3,551$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 5c | 3,210$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.91 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52e9…67c3backed No | 10c | 3,000$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed No | 6c | 2,755$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.16 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed No | 5c | 2,638$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.9 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 80c | 2,558$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.17 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 9c | 2,500$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.07 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 9c | 2,485$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.13 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 26c | 1,792$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.24 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed No | 15c | 1,448$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.22 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed No | 25c | 1,407$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.85 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +335.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 7c | 1,180$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.27 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d8…521dbacked No | 11c | 1,136$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed No | 7c | 1,121$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…3cf5backed No | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…c8c4backed No | 25c | 991.72$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.93 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed No | 8c | 960.06$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 10c | 939.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7c…f1a6backed No | 7c | 858.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 45cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…4032backed No | 7c | 819.38$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.47 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95f1…b994backed No | 12c | 810.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772a…c9f3backed No | 7c | 799.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2adb…2cd7backed No | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 9c | 570$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed No | 6c | 522.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 4.1%3 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 10c | 503.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeed4…c1c2backed No | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…f3bdbacked Yes | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked No | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 12c | 260.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…2af6backed Yes | 69c | 256.39$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066d…07bcbacked No | 11c | 254.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09c9…927bbacked No | 27c | 211.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b83…905ebacked No | 10c | 198.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…8ea3backed No | 27c | 195.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4315…8e79backed No | 9c | 191.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed No | 8c | 187.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…c44bbacked Yes | 65c | 173.85$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…1587backed No | 21c | 165$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 20c | 150.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed No | 11c | 147.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…08e5backed No | 7c | 145$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked No | 8c | 141.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 74c | 139.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ea…ac8bbacked Yes | 76c | 132.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +178.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe4…c66dbacked No | 9c | 122.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 14c | 119.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…4d83backed Yes | 71c | 115.59$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…6829backed Yes | 74c | 108.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd668…7c1ebacked Yes | 75c | 104.41$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 22c | 103$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 11c | 102.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -48%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…db7abacked No | 14c | 102.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 131 | 35.1%46 W · 85 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…490ebacked Yes | 71c | 99.31$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 18c | 98.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d98…0688backed Yes | 75c | 96.29$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ab…dcebbacked No | 11c | 94.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc165…fba9backed Yes | 75c | 90.03$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…198abacked No | 22c | 80.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe23f…a940backed No | 23c | 69.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe630…4d54backed No | 15c | 67.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8965…258cbacked No | 20c | 66.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…859fbacked Yes | 80c | 65.72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9556…95dbbacked No | 20c | 62.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ed…ba78backed No | 22c | 61.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…34e1backed No | 18c | 61.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf978…21a6backed No | 22c | 58.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…f7a4backed Yes | 77c | 57.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Yes | 80c | 56.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 80c | 54.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…22e5backed No | 25c | 50.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…74b7backed No | 26c | 48.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…026cbacked No | 29c | 41.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a91…2f3cbacked Yes | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…8114backed Yes | 77c | 38.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…459ebacked Yes | 78c | 31.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa01e…01a6backed Yes | 77c | 27.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51cb…e3abbacked Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0b…ddc9backed Yes | 79c | 26.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x535a…393ebacked Yes | 79c | 25.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…619dbacked Yes | 77c | 25.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…af8dbacked Yes | 80c | 24.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa988…cc86backed Yes | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce4…4a3bbacked Yes | 78c | 23.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6b…cfdbbacked Yes | 77c | 23.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d6…759cbacked Yes | 77c | 22.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed Yes | 73c | 22.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…67ddbacked Yes | 77c | 21.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…8cf6backed Yes | 77c | 21.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zoe Saldaña win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?this page
- Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will Danielle Deadwyler win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will Felicity Jones win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will Isabella Rossellini win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?No won
- Will Monica Barbaro win Best Supporting Actress at the 2025 Oscars?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.