World Politics · resolved market
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf22571f38286a13ef30bb31197c737a77610f071f093ff643c951d644d76ba3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,264,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,765,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,264,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 589 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaddb…fa70backed Yes | 0c | 184,000$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…9d3fbacked Yes | 2c | 133,352$2,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,968.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 121,976$2,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,631.67 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…a880backed Yes | 1c | 97,968$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.69 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe629…45a5backed Yes | 1c | 95,943$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +106%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a8…ffdabacked Yes | 2c | 90,592$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 1c | 78,462$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 89 | 5.6%5 W · 84 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…7374backed Yes | 4c | 72,867$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,124.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2589…ebd2backed Yes | 2c | 70,359$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93c…b6babacked Yes | 4c | 68,119$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28c…5de7backed Yes | 1c | 65,634$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.91 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…6adcbacked Yes | 3c | 63,786$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 8cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x464d…7909backed Yes | 1c | 58,166$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 8cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 57,212$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.18 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 2c | 51,298$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.98 | 140 | 33.6%47 W · 93 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7575…d3dfbacked Yes | 1c | 51,150$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73d…213abacked Yes | 3c | 49,717$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…1a79backed Yes | 2c | 46,398$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 10cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22aa…0caebacked Yes | 2c | 43,171$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.66 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc90d…aabbbacked Yes | 10c | 43,074$4,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,385.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1008…d2efbacked Yes | 3c | 42,268$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.22 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Yes | 1c | 40,866$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc296…c666backed Yes | 7c | 40,402$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 17cpaid | +207.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0e…fc1bbacked Yes | 2c | 40,245$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 6cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d1…6da1backed Yes | 4c | 40,109$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6853…d5c0backed Yes | 2c | 40,067$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0211…8073backed Yes | 5c | 40,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb6…9452backed Yes | 6c | 37,127$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…5eabbacked Yes | 3c | 35,002$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f1…b5ddbacked Yes | 2c | 31,544$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x541d…e098backed Yes | 2c | 31,368$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…52c8backed Yes | 2c | 31,004$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 7c | 27,558$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.09 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6efe…8b8ebacked Yes | 1c | 26,841$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb7…3573backed Yes | 6c | 26,033$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf6…cb6abacked Yes | 1c | 24,800$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +204.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a9…130dbacked Yes | 2c | 24,483$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e49…c24cbacked Yes | 1c | 23,910$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92e1…310abacked Yes | 1c | 23,756$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…ce95backed Yes | 12c | 23,724$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 21cpaid | +160.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ac…c7b0backed Yes | 2c | 23,555$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 22,336$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.72 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…446dbacked Yes | 2c | 22,066$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +184.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes | 2c | 21,138$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.07 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…f153backed Yes | 8c | 21,079$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 9cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8977…22ffbacked Yes | 2c | 20,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 12c | 19,828$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.06 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6c…d4acbacked Yes | 1c | 19,500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 1c | 17,892$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.64 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da5…a86bbacked Yes | 0c | 17,012$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 11c | 16,896$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.15 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6051backed Yes | 5c | 16,812$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79e4…7140backed Yes | 0c | 16,733$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Yes | 4c | 16,285$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 6cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…62a1backed Yes | 1c | 16,096$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +665.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48cd…ab2ebacked Yes | 3c | 15,972$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…09a4backed Yes | 2c | 15,937$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df0…641dbacked Yes | 2c | 15,778$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…4faabacked Yes | 2c | 15,758$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 11cpaid | -22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa479…7940backed Yes | 3c | 15,603$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…00ebbacked Yes | 2c | 13,811$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +204.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed Yes | 2c | 13,000$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.85 | 101 | 22.8%23 W · 78 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b63…47f5backed Yes | 4c | 12,913$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed Yes | 4c | 12,790$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.54 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 12,759$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.21 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 110 | 13.6%15 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ff…2d03backed Yes | 3c | 11,927$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Yes | 5c | 11,859$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…e2ccbacked Yes | 1c | 11,858$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 15cpaid | +214.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 1c | 11,757$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.03 | 101 | 8.9%9 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x411d…db07backed Yes | 2c | 11,550$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb4…3933backed Yes | 1c | 11,429$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee74…d67abacked Yes | 8c | 11,393$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca01…4103backed Yes | 2c | 11,181$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x991e…687cbacked Yes | 14c | 11,157$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +180.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…0ab9backed Yes | 11c | 10,908$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914f…1025backed Yes | 1c | 10,776$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf99…3195backed Yes | 2c | 10,538$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c0…d22abacked Yes | 1c | 10,524$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 18cpaid | +151.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc46…356abacked Yes | 1c | 10,377$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf371…9812backed Yes | 1c | 10,070$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.19 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…0298backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked Yes | 2c | 9,990$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb20a…7028backed Yes | 1c | 9,958$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4acc…ce64backed Yes | 1c | 9,897$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf7…e36fbacked Yes | 4c | 9,840$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c03…a245backed Yes | 4c | 9,517$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x103d…93b9backed Yes | 5c | 9,215$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…6e01backed Yes | 2c | 9,178$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 11cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b97…5a5ebacked Yes | 1c | 9,000$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 11cpaid | +81%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae74…410ebacked Yes | 12c | 8,864$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…10c8backed Yes | 1c | 8,500$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 5c | 8,390$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.38 | 78 | 0%0 W · 78 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f66…2f22backed Yes | 1c | 8,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f1…6712backed Yes | 2c | 8,055$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +140.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x430c…e71cbacked Yes | 2c | 7,699$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +124%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 2c | 7,633$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.32 | 149 | 4.7%7 W · 142 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe36f…a9dfbacked Yes | 18c | 7,272$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1059…cc08backed Yes | 3c | 7,261$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd17…b69dbacked Yes | 2c | 6,997$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?this page
- Will Adrian Zandberg be the next President of Poland?No won
- Will Agnieszka Dziemianowicz-Bąk be the next President of Poland?No won
- Will Artur Bartoszewicz be the next President of Poland?No won
- Will Grzegorz Braun be the next President of Poland?No won
- Will Joanna Senyszyn be the next President of Poland?No won
- Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Yes won
- Will Krzysztof Stanowski be the next President of Poland?No won
- Will Maciej Maciak be the next President of Poland?No won
- Will Magdalena Biejat be the next President of Poland?No won
- Will Marek Jakubiak be the next President of Poland?No won
- Will Marek Woch be the next President of Poland?No won
- Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?No won
- Will Romuald Starosielec be the next President of Poland?No won
- Will Szymon Hołownia be the next President of Poland?No won
- Will Waldemar Witkowski be the next President of Poland?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.