World Politics · resolved market
Will Grzegorz Braun be the next President of Poland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55896d4ff9042f3b45245aabd96ee21b3f89bd62f4421c9169c99a934cf94e4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,486,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,677,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,486,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8977…22ffbacked Yes | 0c | 515,290$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.3 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 207,230$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.69 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a3…9e5cbacked Yes | 1c | 138,559$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b6…8eaabacked Yes | 1c | 120,977$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…ee3abacked Yes | 0c | 117,603$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…4faabacked Yes | 0c | 95,936$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 11cpaid | -22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…6adcbacked Yes | 1c | 85,154$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 8cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 70,688$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.91 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb6…9452backed Yes | 0c | 66,894$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.68 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 0c | 65,299$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 5.6%5 W · 84 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Yes | 0c | 61,499$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…a880backed Yes | 0c | 59,898$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.8 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274d…8141backed Yes | 0c | 56,072$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…52c8backed Yes | 1c | 55,957$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0e…fc1bbacked Yes | 0c | 55,589$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 6cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca8…504cbacked Yes | 0c | 38,573$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d15…004ebacked Yes | 1c | 38,343$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb25b…7fccbacked Yes | 0c | 34,344$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17a8…da98backed Yes | 0c | 30,320$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 29,708$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x928f…dcfbbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 0c | 22,706$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Yes | 0c | 21,775$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4233…85f7backed Yes | 0c | 20,218$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd02…d996backed Yes | 0c | 20,144$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605f…3e97backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa8…7194backed Yes | 1c | 19,988$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…95bdbacked Yes | 0c | 18,550$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…5ac8backed Yes | 0c | 17,763$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8b…c031backed Yes | 0c | 17,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb96…03f3backed Yes | 0c | 17,350$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x541d…e098backed Yes | 0c | 16,957$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 0c | 15,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…e4edbacked Yes | 0c | 14,907$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 7cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c7…3a9cbacked Yes | 0c | 14,337$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…6538backed Yes | 1c | 14,128$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf4…5e01backed Yes | 0c | 13,548$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c73…b7eebacked Yes | 1c | 13,439$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee74…d67abacked Yes | 1c | 13,171$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98c9…4311backed Yes | 0c | 13,119$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x600e…2b95backed Yes | 0c | 12,978$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…47d6backed Yes | 0c | 12,375$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…3093backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…23e4backed Yes | 0c | 10,299$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2589…ebd2backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b1…2379backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef43…602bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e1…310abacked Yes | 1c | 9,826$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa421…86a8backed Yes | 0c | 9,443$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…fa6fbacked Yes | 0c | 9,251$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 9cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b5…dea3backed Yes | 0c | 9,212$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 9cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa9…dd60backed Yes | 1c | 8,408$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…e648backed Yes | 0c | 8,250$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3468…af0bbacked Yes | 0c | 8,160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a25…f225backed Yes | 0c | 8,050$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…f153backed Yes | 0c | 7,950$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 9cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…f86fbacked Yes | 0c | 7,635$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc708…21c6backed Yes | 0c | 7,613$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…fdf9backed Yes | 1c | 7,594$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x210f…9693backed Yes | 0c | 7,590$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x243d…b69abacked Yes | 0c | 7,325$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e60…3b30backed Yes | 0c | 7,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 18cpaid | +145.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9f…a24fbacked Yes | 0c | 6,861$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc9…e03abacked Yes | 0c | 6,253$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +185.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4afc…1f34backed Yes | 0c | 5,937$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4831…a68fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,556$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 10cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9400…7566backed Yes | 0c | 5,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5705…aa6ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,468$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…2211backed Yes | 0c | 5,425$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e73…4feabacked Yes | 0c | 5,214$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…da6fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,204$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc6…1eabbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…0a84backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3062…957cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +417.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd6…6625backed Yes | 1c | 4,666$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb47…15febacked Yes | 2c | 4,254$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +164.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f7…e8d5backed Yes | 1c | 4,137$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5a…746fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,111$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe87…7ca4backed Yes | 0c | 4,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd3…4d83backed Yes | 1c | 3,960$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 0c | 3,746$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -60%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…6e4ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,584$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca01…4103backed Yes | 0c | 3,450$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f99…0665backed Yes | 0c | 3,250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae2…04d2backed Yes | 1c | 3,096$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,017$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…59b8backed Yes | 0c | 2,750$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x337b…e03cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,233$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…90f2backed Yes | 1c | 2,114$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd757…42acbacked Yes | 1c | 2,076$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 2,038$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x474e…ab23backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1535…45dcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,914$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…3651backed Yes | 1c | 1,870$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba16…4cacbacked Yes | 1c | 1,355$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Grzegorz Braun be the next President of Poland?this page
- Will Adrian Zandberg be the next President of Poland?No won
- Will Agnieszka Dziemianowicz-Bąk be the next President of Poland?No won
- Will Artur Bartoszewicz be the next President of Poland?No won
- Will Joanna Senyszyn be the next President of Poland?No won
- Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Yes won
- Will Krzysztof Stanowski be the next President of Poland?No won
- Will Maciej Maciak be the next President of Poland?No won
- Will Magdalena Biejat be the next President of Poland?No won
- Will Marek Jakubiak be the next President of Poland?No won
- Will Marek Woch be the next President of Poland?No won
- Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?No won
- Will Romuald Starosielec be the next President of Poland?No won
- Will Szymon Hołownia be the next President of Poland?No won
- Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?No won
- Will Waldemar Witkowski be the next President of Poland?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.