Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Southern vs. Florida A&M
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5f1eef6bd9578e27655994c2ae87a411ec84f722060b65cd0e757acd24f011c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southernof Southern, Florida A&M
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x288d…dc1dbacked Southern | 50c | 241$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…5a92backed Florida A&M | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4037…b6e2backed Southern | 50c | 214$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea55…379fbacked Florida A&M | 50c | 196$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab0d…9572backed Florida A&M | 50c | 172$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde4…4cc7backed Southern | 50c | 166$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…ddaabacked Florida A&M | 50c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +144.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Southern | 64c | 94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5da…25f5backed Southern | 59c | 82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd1…bc8dbacked Florida A&M | 41c | 74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +70%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x261a…d758backed Florida A&M | 50c | 73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Florida A&M | 39c | 65.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Southern | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…f093backed Southern | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Florida A&M | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f98…6aedbacked Florida A&M | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e3…fbc1backed Florida A&M | 36c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdb…b4e4backed Florida A&M | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Florida A&M | 39c | 44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4531…ef02backed Southern | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6d…d94cbacked Southern | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ff…ad28backed Florida A&M | 50c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430d…c4c2backed Florida A&M | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4f…d267backed Southern | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4afc…6e25backed Florida A&M | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b5…1713backed Southern | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc5…ab55backed Southern | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…a7fcbacked Florida A&M | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba4d…f8d7backed Florida A&M | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x845d…615dbacked Southern | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…bdcbbacked Southern | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Southern | 52c | 34.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd44…0e7bbacked Florida A&M | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a52…7079backed Southern | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe5…492dbacked Florida A&M | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4663…801ebacked Florida A&M | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8f…f3d0backed Southern | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a1…7a24backed Southern | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd78…17cbbacked Southern | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…d0ffbacked Southern | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1200…9006backed Florida A&M | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…439dbacked Southern | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…c76ebacked Florida A&M | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcb…90c7backed Florida A&M | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e92…23fabacked Florida A&M | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e3…eea0backed Florida A&M | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…6204backed Southern | 64c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…b2a1backed Southern | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…1988backed Southern | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc8…3a97backed Southern | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…137bbacked Southern | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04a…9c2dbacked Southern | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.