Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. Joseph's vs. Fordham
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3019908c60205595da741327c69de0a1b83da9e01efce694b4c6fcf6374a4632
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Joseph'sof St. Joseph's, Fordham
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Fordham | 7c | 1,185$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.45 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Fordham | 35c | 325$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked St. Joseph's | 71c | 225.23$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0b…94ddbacked St. Joseph's | 69c | 217$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked St. Joseph's | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Fordham | 20c | 110.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed St. Joseph's | 80c | 106.25$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0a…ac00backed Fordham | 33c | 93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x825b…c53fbacked Fordham | 33c | 84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked St. Joseph's | 76c | 83.33$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0623…35dbbacked Fordham | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…6cacbacked Fordham | 31c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7464…8578backed Fordham | 22c | 53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed St. Joseph's | 70c | 50.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2d…7053backed Fordham | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553a…2543backed Fordham | 31c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe64…7b98backed Fordham | 31c | 46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f8…95fdbacked Fordham | 31c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked St. Joseph's | 67c | 28.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea69…9ba2backed St. Joseph's | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ef…6e2ebacked St. Joseph's | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e9…858dbacked St. Joseph's | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1845…0df6backed St. Joseph's | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf97b…3756backed St. Joseph's | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.