NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-18.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34820c1f8fd1cd2f2a2abda5c96d2946a6eb5f471cb397eddbabb37dfd8b816a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Spurs, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $917,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $917,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $917,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Spurs | 50c | 593,360$293,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293,921.91 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings | 51c | 377,832$191,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185,839.92 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Kings | 50c | 200,000$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,000 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Kings | 52c | 96,000$49,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,079.95 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Spurs | 49c | 50,000$24,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,500 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Spurs | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,999.99 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Kings | 50c | 35,051$17,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,443.68 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Spurs | 48c | 35,043$16,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,920.59 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Kings | 51c | 21,548$10,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,558.59 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Kings | 50c | 20,637$10,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,318.36 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Spurs | 50c | 15,952$7,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,995.84 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 48c | 13,287$6,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,366.2 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Kings | 50c | 13,067$6,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,533.5 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs | 50c | 11,644$5,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,821.99 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Spurs | 49c | 11,076$5,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,427.24 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 50c | 10,000$5,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,980 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad7…50cfbacked Kings | 51c | 9,970$5,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,885.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…cf73backed Spurs | 49c | 9,700$4,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,753 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Spurs | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320.04 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Kings | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Spurs | 49c | 7,196$3,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,526.27 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kings | 52c | 6,822$3,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,275.8 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Kings | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Kings | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Spurs | 49c | 4,183$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.8 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Kings | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Kings | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Kings | 51c | 3,745$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.1 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings | 50c | 3,020$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.53 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Spurs | 50c | 3,010$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Kings | 51c | 2,933$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.95 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Kings | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kings | 50c | 2,117$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.84 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs | 40c | 2,084$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.97 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Spurs | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Kings | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Spurs | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Spurs | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Spurs | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Spurs | 53c | 1,972$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.86 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…55b3backed Kings | 51c | 1,962$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.38 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Kings | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Spurs | 55c | 1,774$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.1 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Kings | 51c | 1,729$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.22 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Kings | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.43 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Kings | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Spurs | 53c | 1,330$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.41 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa803…2949backed Kings | 79c | 1,250$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs | 21c | 1,250$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Spurs | 54c | 1,060$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.13 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Spurs | 49c | 1,019$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Kings | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Kings | 53c | 999.81$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.16 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Kings | 61c | 999.6$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.84 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Spurs | 49c | 799.69$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.85 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Kings | 23c | 745.44$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.93 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Spurs | 43c | 703.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Spurs | 49c | 698.99$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.57 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…b6c4backed Spurs | 49c | 660$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.4 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Spurs | 49c | 650$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.5 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Spurs | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…fe7bbacked Kings | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Spurs | 39c | 598.74$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.66 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Kings | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Kings | 51c | 550$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.5 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Spurs | 48c | 525$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Spurs | 42c | 514.92$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.44 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Spurs | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 50c | 499$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.5 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Kings | 51c | 480$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Spurs | 48c | 470.95$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.06 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Kings | 51c | 442.95$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.04 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Spurs | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Kings | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Kings | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Kings | 52c | 377.83$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.12 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa81…44a9backed Spurs | 57c | 352.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 54c | 319.43$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.33 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Kings | 24c | 309.96$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.96 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Kings | 11c | 300$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Kings | 51c | 299.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.18 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Kings | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Kings | 34c | 273.68$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.63 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Spurs | 63c | 271.67$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.2 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…2360backed Spurs | 49c | 254.52$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…9af1backed Spurs | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Spurs | 32c | 249.68$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.15 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Spurs | 43c | 229.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Kings | 51c | 229.46$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.87 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Kings | 52c | 223.81$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.74 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Kings | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Kings | 57c | 216.01$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.9 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Kings | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Spurs | 48c | 209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Kings | 53c | 208.84$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.16 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…e904backed Spurs | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Spurs | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…a62ebacked Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc02…f89cbacked Kings | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-18.5)this page
- DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Keegan Murray: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Kings vs. SpursSpurs won
- Kings vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 226.5Over won
- Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5Over won
- Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Over won
- Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5Over won
- Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5Over won
- Maxime Raynaud: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Kings won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.