Us Politics · resolved market
Will Kash Patel be Trump's FBI director?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74c68b3e4e27d104600cae587eaa0e6afa4c8ae738f04c28a2fca43a2bd372f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $244,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $257,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 34c | 10,000$3,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,387.37 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…a960backed No | 37c | 9,942$3,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,686.16 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked No | 22c | 8,193$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.48 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 16c | 6,375$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.39 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…fce2backed No | 30c | 6,001$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.97 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed No | 5c | 5,981$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.88 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…3d87backed Yes | 74c | 5,542$4,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.27 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…467abacked No | 31c | 5,496$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.87 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…dfb6backed No | 21c | 5,276$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.63 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 77c | 5,187$4,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.87 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…c44bbacked Yes | 62c | 4,839$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.71 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.18per pick | 34cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 5c | 4,363$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.59 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 17c | 4,317$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.89 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 70c | 4,019$2,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.75 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes | 70c | 3,973$2,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.05 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked No | 18c | 3,910$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…cc6cbacked Yes | 78c | 3,822$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed No | 0c | 3,622$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2286…c31fbacked Yes | 75c | 3,104$2,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.5 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed No | 2c | 2,576$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 1c | 2,093$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 240 | 0%0 W · 240 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked No | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked No | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e4…b676backed No | 10c | 1,852$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.19 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 11c | 1,838$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.41 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb9…1a1ebacked No | 1c | 1,719$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a9…0b5abacked Yes | 69c | 1,626$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e2…fa6ebacked Yes | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed No | 2c | 1,206$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3328backed No | 1c | 1,045$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 4c | 1,005$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed No | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked Yes | 62c | 839.01$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.21 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 5c | 834.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…7737backed Yes | 67c | 760$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.77 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd7…0643backed Yes | 65c | 692.48$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.72 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…df47backed No | 2c | 681.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed No | 2c | 631.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a5…5ac2backed No | 9c | 600$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed No | 35c | 599.96$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.98 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…3c37backed Yes | 67c | 582.86$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbf…595ebacked No | 5c | 548.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed No | 10c | 530$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…1587backed No | 33c | 530$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.2 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 74 | 73%54 W · 20 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 67c | 500$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 136 | 73.5%100 W · 36 L | +28.4wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xd5be…a613backed Yes | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 52cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeb11…e824backed No | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…d8a2backed Yes | 70c | 487.76$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 31c | 470.62$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.21 | 286 | 36.7%105 W · 181 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed No | 22c | 450$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 3c | 444.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ec…e23bbacked Yes | 64c | 437.1$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 80c | 431.35$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.27 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…bd62backed No | 33c | 396.21$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.62 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…aa50backed Yes | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x063d…e00fbacked Yes | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…b2b1backed No | 31c | 355.26$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.07 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…0e65backed Yes | 70c | 327.84$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.35 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…7f88backed Yes | 69c | 290$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 8c | 277.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d0…4e7dbacked No | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6867…25b8backed Yes | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f4…1c68backed No | 17c | 237.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed Yes | 64c | 228.92$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.41 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d7…5762backed No | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f77…9d8ebacked No | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff2b…0c88backed No | 27c | 199.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e17…f6c6backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed No | 9c | 159.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d85…4df9backed Yes | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…1411backed Yes | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf37b…da7abacked No | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc099…2ea5backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eef…cad3backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x069f…b749backed No | 14c | 138.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c1…3d36backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6b…f95ebacked Yes | 71c | 134.29$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f8…32f2backed No | 37c | 134$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x59d9…11bcbacked No | 39c | 133.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757b…af6fbacked No | 23c | 133$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf162…ba35backed Yes | 69c | 130.43$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…29debacked Yes | 66c | 120$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…a0babacked No | 19c | 114$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…5462backed Yes | 69c | 107.33$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…14cebacked Yes | 64c | 100.26$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +261.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…eacfbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada8…a347backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…6cdcbacked No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f1…5069backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd63…2ae5backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4485…d7d8backed Yes | 78c | 92.07$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e09…c03abacked Yes | 62c | 80.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe094…19a4backed Yes | 74c | 78.49$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25a…7dd5backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…7f0bbacked Yes | 68c | 72.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kash Patel be Trump's FBI director?this page
- Will Andrew Bailey be Trump's FBI director?No won
- Will Ken Paxton be Trump's FBI director?No won
- Will Mike Rogers be Trump's FBI director?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.