Us Politics · resolved market
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico before May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83db8ba7bbbae39dfb017f61c634f199579acb813e2dd6d81068ffefb59c1bae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 17c | 3,828$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.36 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5685…62e2backed No | 79c | 3,782$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5464…be5ebacked Yes | 18c | 3,668$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.81 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Yes | 10c | 3,626$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.99 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e6…30a2backed Yes | 22c | 3,581$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.53 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc30a…1a0dbacked Yes | 20c | 2,800$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 22c | 2,579$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.7 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 19c | 2,304$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.14 | 148 | 19.6%29 W · 119 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 80c | 2,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 15c | 1,975$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.5 | 98 | 10.2%10 W · 88 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 17c | 1,959$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.68 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9d…446dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,446$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.4 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…e954backed Yes | 18c | 1,344$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.29 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0780…0cb4backed Yes | 16c | 1,254$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…01d0backed Yes | 17c | 1,128$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.85 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 12c | 1,100$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.75 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dde…94c3backed No | 79c | 1,064$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.98 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699e…d892backed Yes | 20c | 1,006$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…a43dbacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 79c | 999.99$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…7c64backed Yes | 21c | 954.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…e0e5backed Yes | 15c | 923.98$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.75 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9d…4cc1backed No | 80c | 855.32$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.32 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked Yes | 19c | 750.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.26 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba8…61b7backed Yes | 7c | 662.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da2…59e7backed Yes | 3c | 612.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4e…e65abacked Yes | 22c | 555$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…8658backed Yes | 3c | 510.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…7112backed No | 79c | 500$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 7c | 482.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…5afdbacked Yes | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…e7e5backed Yes | 21c | 445.54$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked Yes | 17c | 400$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…d06fbacked Yes | 15c | 391.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78b3…f028backed Yes | 17c | 344.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 21c | 333$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Yes | 19c | 317.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b2d5backed Yes | 4c | 316.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 23c | 305.86$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.01 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked Yes | 18c | 300$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb174…d896backed Yes | 24c | 287.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…f801backed Yes | 19c | 261.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d0…4e7dbacked Yes | 21c | 230$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d05…3407backed Yes | 50c | 202.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…0d5ebacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…1411backed Yes | 22c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…bdcfbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0665…4c8fbacked Yes | 20c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7b…ae8bbacked Yes | 20c | 192.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 18c | 185.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004f…9612backed Yes | 22c | 184.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…4f3abacked No | 73c | 179.34$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ed…82e5backed Yes | 23c | 174.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9127…6ff3backed Yes | 22c | 159.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…43dcbacked No | 78c | 154.96$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…2866backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3d…615ebacked Yes | 10c | 148$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…7d2bbacked Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 12c | 142.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 9c | 139.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2378…a059backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -5.3wins | -0.24per pick | 70cpaid | -36%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x80a3…d285backed Yes | 15c | 133$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa344…8141backed No | 55c | 131$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.14 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1afb…4f87backed No | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d98…c9acbacked Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb17f…60eebacked Yes | 16c | 121.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 21c | 119.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 119 | 18.5%22 W · 97 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c4…0d19backed Yes | 20c | 101$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb73…a4bebacked Yes | 22c | 101$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 147 | 42.9%63 W · 84 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8452…9056backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…d249backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a85…37c8backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…5f19backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c46…dd2abacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a9…1e1dbacked Yes | 21c | 94.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 20c | 93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 28c | 91.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 286 | 36.7%105 W · 181 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdc…5a2ebacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd89b…7945backed No | 73c | 76.77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6090…19cabacked No | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b33…7fd4backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed No | 78c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40f5…2636backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…76f6backed No | 66c | 70.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aca…dae1backed Yes | 34c | 70.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…b14bbacked No | 78c | 63.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 19c | 63.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed No | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…d924backed No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x837e…27dfbacked Yes | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9229…5db5backed Yes | 23c | 55.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 80c | 50.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 252 | 41.7%105 W · 147 L | -17.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…baa3backed Yes | 20c | 50.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.