World Politics · resolved market
Will Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b9f192e5ddc110431a737aed515ed9ca5e13bc71dd5bab74f32a7dc68afd683
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,377,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,562,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,377,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691f…41a1backed Yes | 6c | 136,353$8,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,738.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc247…4a5cbacked Yes | 2c | 79,453$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba32…deaabacked Yes | 2c | 42,800$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc1…983abacked Yes | 4c | 41,000$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 7c | 37,331$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9be…13c7backed Yes | 3c | 30,669$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3180…7dfebacked Yes | 1c | 25,983$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5895…88b7backed Yes | 7c | 23,185$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e6…5aaabacked Yes | 2c | 13,924$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949a…721cbacked Yes | 1c | 12,982$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f8…9befbacked Yes | 2c | 11,018$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…904abacked Yes | 2c | 10,018$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 5c | 10,000$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.99 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Yes | 5c | 9,704$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.24 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…9f3dbacked Yes | 2c | 9,200$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 2c | 8,334$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.34 | 98 | 22.4%22 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 4c | 8,243$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.37 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 4c | 7,650$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.35 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 2c | 7,474$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.41 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Yes | 2c | 6,233$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.18 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…c256backed Yes | 5c | 6,209$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 6,135$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.73 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 3c | 5,644$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.47 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22f…88e7backed Yes | 6c | 5,256$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed Yes | 7c | 5,132$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cf…61d2backed Yes | 1c | 4,859$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Yes | 4c | 4,162$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.85 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 3c | 4,150$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.86 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +6.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 6c | 3,906$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.01 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 6c | 3,842$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.54 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c9…b44ebacked Yes | 7c | 3,574$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…d7ccbacked Yes | 7c | 3,055$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Yes | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb60…3ddabacked Yes | 6c | 2,864$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e4…04b2backed Yes | 1c | 2,844$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 4c | 2,679$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.48 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b29…4d85backed Yes | 2c | 2,619$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 4c | 2,617$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…17afbacked Yes | 1c | 2,556$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c92…7396backed Yes | 8c | 2,546$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe7…254cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,467$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…e452backed Yes | 4c | 2,279$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc35…aba4backed Yes | 4c | 2,264$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…d24abacked Yes | 1c | 2,238$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…1c75backed Yes | 1c | 2,222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3495…b2a6backed Yes | 5c | 2,128$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…9f9ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,105$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8964…ed67backed Yes | 3c | 2,055$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 4c | 2,053$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.36 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…1411backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…b38bbacked Yes | 6c | 2,000$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…251cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4c…b2e4backed Yes | 5c | 1,970$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…4387backed Yes | 5c | 1,604$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes | 5c | 1,576$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.33 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf2…9075backed Yes | 6c | 1,443$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ff…f464backed Yes | 2c | 1,414$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fea…c2f7backed Yes | 7c | 1,414$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa217…603abacked Yes | 4c | 1,378$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b6…d90cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x813c…6f03backed Yes | 6c | 1,216$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9780…6255backed Yes | 6c | 1,077$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 4c | 1,058$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1172…cbb1backed Yes | 2c | 1,055$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae64…aca9backed Yes | 2c | 1,053$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e7…9d9dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,048$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b7…2604backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfc…1ab3backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c3…885fbacked Yes | 7c | 996.48$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 3c | 900$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…207dbacked Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d6…4da7backed Yes | 5c | 774.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x210b…bb94backed Yes | 4c | 757.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 4c | 749.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 743.74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb364…0148backed Yes | 3c | 742.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0907…fa3ebacked Yes | 6c | 724.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58cf…7a97backed Yes | 7c | 711.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…35f5backed Yes | 14c | 707.14$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x580b…f0f4backed Yes | 3c | 678.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 5c | 666.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 149 | 4.7%7 W · 142 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…f9f2backed Yes | 4c | 662.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e5…ace5backed Yes | 3c | 609.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 7c | 600$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 123 | 32.5%40 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…90f7backed Yes | 7c | 572.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…43d3backed Yes | 4c | 556.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…1d72backed Yes | 2c | 550$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ff…617bbacked Yes | 4c | 530.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…c7c3backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…d91ebacked Yes | 9c | 489.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 5c | 476.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 112 | 22.3%25 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3db…2467backed Yes | 7c | 472$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3bdbbacked Yes | 6c | 409.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked Yes | 3c | 379.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…f79dbacked Yes | 7c | 363.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…c288backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025this page
- Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.