TailMyPicks

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NFL · resolved market

Saints vs. Panthers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Saintsof Saints, Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,094
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,922

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,094 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x339a…1eaebacked Panthers35c10,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5006844.1%30 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe91…70ffbacked Saints64c8,768$5,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,154.2913751.8%71 W · 66 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Panthers35c8,378$2,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,946.8425137.5%94 W · 157 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1d7…e17ebacked Panthers36c5,768$2,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,058.899240.2%37 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a14…0762backed Saints72c5,231$3,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,458.6910239.2%40 W · 62 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01e8…ce3bbacked Saints78c5,200$4,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0deb…2549backed Panthers36c4,947$1,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,781.042842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Panthers22c4,692$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.2912022.5%27 W · 93 L-6.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Panthers36c4,211$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.1236246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Saints65c3,916$2,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.9530446.7%142 W · 162 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Saints66c3,398$2,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.1318645.7%85 W · 101 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Saints65c3,188$2,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.2412843.8%56 W · 72 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb5…8b87backed Panthers4c2,307$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.692951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc72a…bb38backed Panthers36c1,813$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1158…d8fabacked Saints65c1,778$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Panthers35c1,773$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.3820736.2%75 W · 132 L-13.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4467…6a75backed Panthers11c1,533$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcede…f2f6backed Panthers36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3609022.2%20 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick23cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182b…f022backed Panthers34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34010246.1%47 W · 55 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaee3…1b0fbacked Panthers21c997.93$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.72240.9%9 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+88.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc417…3ca6backed Saints64c799.99$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2886050%30 W · 30 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9e2b…8fa0backed Saints65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.231233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-49.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe41a…a42dbacked Saints63c692.31$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.315036%18 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7b…7ef6backed Saints65c600$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Panthers35c554.96$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.234143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Saints65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1759445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Panthers36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8b5…e05cbacked Panthers21c469.26$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.543036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f7d…4feabacked Saints66c456.5$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.514656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Saints65c389.99$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.1311839%46 W · 72 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bed…43b2backed Panthers35c342$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.7616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d05…ba37backed Saints65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.691457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Saints65c305.68$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.997541.3%31 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f49…28a0backed Panthers35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x535f…5ce5backed Panthers22c280$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf168…5725backed Panthers36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e91…b801backed Panthers36c275$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995034%17 W · 33 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Saints66c250$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8520246%93 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed Panthers34c229.08$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.895433.3%18 W · 36 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Panthers22c227.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1121713.8%30 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a12…01cebacked Saints78c227.27$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc395…5c8cbacked Saints65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0416…2993backed Panthers10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick43cpaid-70.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Saints65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705955.9%33 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa15b…30f1backed Panthers31c200$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615341.5%22 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x315f…80b3backed Panthers36c197.22$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5697…cddfbacked Saints66c189.39$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.392871.4%20 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcea2…afafbacked Panthers35c177.14$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf59e…39cfbacked Saints65c160$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567847.4%37 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4975…c492backed Saints65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.853661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Saints65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8533047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9693…07c3backed Saints65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8511949.6%59 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcec3…53a1backed Saints66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.522250%11 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9193…c86cbacked Saints65c150$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.52857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9c3…ab95backed Panthers36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4e1…0b47backed Panthers36c127$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.727459.5%44 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16c6…c753backed Panthers36c125$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd2…7111backed Saints65c123.08$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13b7…3f92backed Panthers36c110.42$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.751369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a9d…39b7backed Panthers35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351910.5%2 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-76.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd9…1095backed Panthers36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5d9…42fcbacked Saints65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc964…8411backed Saints65c95.42$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.45362.3%33 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x463c…7d78backed Panthers36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-66.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Saints65c77$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.959946.5%46 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x685e…bb41backed Saints65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.92955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75d1…b18cbacked Saints65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9216645.8%76 W · 90 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe047…e509backed Saints66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6cd…a8d9backed Saints65c72.37$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…dda7backed Panthers36c70.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Saints64c70.2$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9432438%123 W · 201 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x024f…2ec0backed Panthers36c64$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.041030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33fb…48e4backed Panthers36c62.22$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf279…70cebacked Saints66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.61771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91be…308abacked Saints65c56.92$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ac…6df6backed Panthers36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019261.5%118 W · 74 L+13.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x851b…13c4backed Saints65c50.77$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.771275%9 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+31.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x12b0…338fbacked Saints65c50.71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Panthers36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1814848%71 W · 77 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Saints65c48.72$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0519564.6%126 W · 69 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3416…a99bbacked Panthers36c47.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Saints65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.158274.4%61 W · 21 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc465…fcfbbacked Saints66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4520758%120 W · 87 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e22…0d62backed Panthers36c44.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab3b…f0f2backed Saints65c38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.31650%8 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+49.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd33a…2cc4backed Saints66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.885232.7%17 W · 35 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-38.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a22…dd3bbacked Saints65c35.38$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.381040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e21…4d75backed Saints65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.772254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a1…3f08backed Saints66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.312951.9%67 W · 62 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbae7…836bbacked Saints65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ac7…a802backed Saints66c27.61$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ba…ee42backed Saints65c22.11$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.742958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbea9…02f9backed Saints66c21.09$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.173366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.