NFL · resolved market
Bears vs. Titans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9f3b8c276c31b82fafc0664892ec1418973a8a2b42804bd9533571288cff543
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bearsof Bears, Titans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $140,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x741e…2f80backed Titans | 38c | 14,346$5,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,451.31 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Bears | 63c | 14,000$8,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,220 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Bears | 63c | 13,000$8,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,789.99 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2150…8293backed Bears | 66c | 7,500$4,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,572.13 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Titans | 34c | 7,370$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.71 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Bears | 32c | 7,100$2,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,807 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Titans | 36c | 5,447$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.76 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Titans | 47c | 5,032$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350.2 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Titans | 55c | 4,416$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,416.96 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0deb…2549backed Bears | 63c | 4,335$2,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.78 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e8…ce3bbacked Bears | 66c | 3,112$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…a205backed Bears | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed Titans | 36c | 2,891$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.93 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…f468backed Titans | 40c | 2,830$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.15 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee3…1b0fbacked Bears | 33c | 2,023$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.35 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…da06backed Titans | 35c | 2,010$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.5 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Bears | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Bears | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Titans | 36c | 1,863$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.7 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d74…934abacked Titans | 38c | 1,481$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…79eabacked Titans | 37c | 1,473$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Bears | 63c | 1,435$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.77 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Bears | 65c | 1,412$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Bears | 63c | 1,111$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.85 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Titans | 35c | 1,110$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.98 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Titans | 37c | 1,014$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.92 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…4d61backed Bears | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Bears | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…e05cbacked Titans | 53c | 912.35$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.71 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed Titans | 8c | 874$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +209.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Bears | 66c | 817.32$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.89 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Bears | 64c | 799.99$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…b93fbacked Titans | 36c | 756.31$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.27 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Titans | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0895…8273backed Bears | 64c | 599.98$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e4…f5b0backed Titans | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed Bears | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Titans | 34c | 399.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c3…ab95backed Titans | 43c | 393.79$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.31 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9b…c130backed Bears | 65c | 364.15$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.45 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed Titans | 36c | 359.53$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…43b2backed Titans | 34c | 352.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Titans | 36c | 336.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.47 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…e827backed Bears | 66c | 309.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Bears | 64c | 301.53$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.61 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6056…7227backed Bears | 42c | 300$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Titans | 80c | 300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc5…38d9backed Bears | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4f…89b5backed Bears | 64c | 259.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Bears | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff4…fb3ebacked Bears | 66c | 222.77$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Bears | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c5…f001backed Titans | 66c | 169.65$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Bears | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Bears | 63c | 157$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f7…d25abacked Bears | 64c | 157$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf168…5725backed Bears | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bears | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Bears | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4975…c492backed Bears | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…97a0backed Bears | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Bears | 70c | 149.79$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…afafbacked Titans | 38c | 139.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc964…8411backed Bears | 63c | 136.54$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Bears | 44c | 116.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Titans | 36c | 107$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…aee3backed Titans | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa03b…c3f1backed Bears | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…23dcbacked Titans | 38c | 86.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Titans | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed Titans | 36c | 76.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…8561backed Bears | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Bears | 21c | 73.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.91 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43ae…41fbbacked Titans | 38c | 63.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Titans | 18c | 62.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf223…3a58backed Bears | 63c | 56.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…bb41backed Titans | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Titans | 36c | 49.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb818…bc56backed Bears | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5697…cddfbacked Bears | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x208e…dfd0backed Bears | 41c | 45.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x838e…b9c2backed Bears | 63c | 40.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…9656backed Bears | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbea9…02f9backed Bears | 61c | 38.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…57a9backed Bears | 65c | 34.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…3f08backed Bears | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c5…25cfbacked Bears | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae7…836bbacked Titans | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec3…53a1backed Titans | 70c | 25.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…ee3dbacked Bears | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3f…8b64backed Bears | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…c676backed Bears | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.