NFL · resolved market
Dolphins vs. Jaguars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc56a15f5807c6b385c4455ae939f0c4eaa188cb3864dc42431227d64520cea04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dolphinsof Dolphins, Jaguars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Dolphins | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Dolphins | 62c | 6,771$4,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,572.88 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Dolphins | 61c | 6,517$3,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550.81 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Jaguars | 37c | 5,945$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.63 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Dolphins | 54c | 4,905$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.34 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Jaguars | 38c | 4,657$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.03 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Jaguars | 37c | 3,944$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.28 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…da06backed Jaguars | 38c | 2,600$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…221dbacked Jaguars | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…36d4backed Dolphins | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed Dolphins | 56c | 2,216$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.18 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Dolphins | 65c | 2,015$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.25 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…bbb7backed Dolphins | 39c | 1,750$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc34…ff67backed Jaguars | 47c | 1,351$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.96 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Jaguars | 39c | 1,314$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.39 | 186 | 45.7%85 W · 101 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Jaguars | 39c | 1,188$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.59 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Dolphins | 60c | 1,150$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e8…ce3bbacked Dolphins | 63c | 1,090$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed Jaguars | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +209.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Jaguars | 37c | 999$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.85 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee3…1b0fbacked Dolphins | 37c | 910$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.8 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Jaguars | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Dolphins | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Jaguars | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Jaguars | 29c | 565.95$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.01 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…0b47backed Dolphins | 78c | 550.14$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.04 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Jaguars | 64c | 550$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.5 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Dolphins | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Dolphins | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Dolphins | 50c | 425.91$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…5692backed Dolphins | 27c | 347.22$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Jaguars | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Jaguars | 41c | 281.1$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.59 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf168…5725backed Jaguars | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…e186backed Dolphins | 52c | 242.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.1 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb818…bc56backed Jaguars | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Jaguars | 58c | 188.68$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.17 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…2ec0backed Dolphins | 63c | 188.3$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c5…e38abacked Jaguars | 79c | 176.96$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4c…ff37backed Dolphins | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…e05cbacked Dolphins | 45c | 149.73$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.04 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Dolphins | 62c | 131.68$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8398…047fbacked Dolphins | 51c | 130$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Dolphins | 62c | 110$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…19b0backed Jaguars | 41c | 110$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Dolphins | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Dolphins | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbeb…b30bbacked Dolphins | 62c | 87.1$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb5…3683backed Jaguars | 39c | 85.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Jaguars | 58c | 82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…79c6backed Dolphins | 63c | 79.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee5…b0dcbacked Dolphins | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…620bbacked Dolphins | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d43…d842backed Dolphins | 44c | 70.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…8534backed Dolphins | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Jaguars | 40c | 65.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcc…a361backed Jaguars | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Dolphins | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…6df6backed Jaguars | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…bb41backed Jaguars | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e9…de83backed Dolphins | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…a4b2backed Jaguars | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Dolphins | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5697…cddfbacked Dolphins | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1805…0e64backed Dolphins | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7591…9829backed Dolphins | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbae7…836bbacked Jaguars | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked Dolphins | 29c | 42.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…2cc4backed Dolphins | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5363…f7b1backed Dolphins | 62c | 37.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf087…40f5backed Dolphins | 60c | 34.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…3f08backed Dolphins | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e73…30b3backed Dolphins | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb837…ab31backed Dolphins | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…5757backed Dolphins | 62c | 27.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf627…e466backed Dolphins | 62c | 25.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…ee8ebacked Jaguars | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…ee3dbacked Jaguars | 69c | 23.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9a…2bfcbacked Jaguars | 60c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…c676backed Dolphins | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.