NFL · resolved market
Jets vs. Broncos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b2339d72e8f02392b5a74693e02934150353feb901c5196e921a40d0a4367dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Broncosof Jets, Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ec…5d8ebacked Jets | 77c | 33,121$25,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,576.82 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Jets | 77c | 18,509$14,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,312.99 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…2758backed Broncos | 25c | 15,433$3,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,649.82 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | +11.4wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Broncos | 23c | 14,943$3,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,506.47 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Broncos | 23c | 9,000$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,890 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Broncos | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…7407backed Jets | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.98 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Broncos | 23c | 4,727$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,660.72 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…36d4backed Broncos | 22c | 4,546$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,545.49 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Broncos | 30c | 4,106$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.92 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Broncos | 29c | 3,212$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,284.44 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Broncos | 22c | 3,043$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.17 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Jets | 45c | 2,857$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.48 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Jets | 76c | 2,200$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…e3b2backed Broncos | 24c | 1,571$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.83 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb620…dd7abacked Broncos | 23c | 1,400$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Jets | 79c | 1,309$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.85 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Broncos | 22c | 1,272$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.71 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Broncos | 21c | 1,120$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.84 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Broncos | 38c | 1,073$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.04 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Broncos | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Jets | 79c | 995.45$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.45 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…4feabacked Broncos | 21c | 976.43$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.46 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Broncos | 54c | 788.78$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.3 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd6…27d3backed Jets | 75c | 785.1$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.83 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Broncos | 23c | 534.78$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.78 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc125…15fcbacked Broncos | 26c | 500$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…48c4backed Broncos | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Jets | 79c | 476$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.04 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96fa…baadbacked Broncos | 22c | 473.09$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.01 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -60%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Broncos | 23c | 444$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.88 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Broncos | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…0aeebacked Broncos | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Broncos | 22c | 390.74$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.78 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ea…ba4abacked Broncos | 25c | 364.9$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.9 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Broncos | 34c | 300$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1289…ebfabacked Broncos | 28c | 273.33$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…4a81backed Jets | 78c | 262.85$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked Broncos | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.87 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Broncos | 23c | 250$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.5 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x136e…393ebacked Jets | 75c | 249.87$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf54…676abacked Broncos | 25c | 240$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Jets | 78c | 236.45$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.43 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Broncos | 17c | 226$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.08 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d56…d62ebacked Jets | 61c | 215$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.25 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…2ae9backed Broncos | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Broncos | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Jets | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Broncos | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b70…20a3backed Broncos | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Jets | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…44afbacked Jets | 79c | 198.92$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Broncos | 20c | 195.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.77 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ab…60c2backed Broncos | 67c | 195.33$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24dc…7f5abacked Jets | 77c | 190$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.7 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcb…a83bbacked Broncos | 55c | 190$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa03b…c3f1backed Jets | 76c | 159.97$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.58 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5697…cddfbacked Jets | 79c | 156.96$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4df…7f8ebacked Jets | 79c | 145.57$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…27e7backed Broncos | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Broncos | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…8c07backed Broncos | 22c | 135.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.73 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…1951backed Jets | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…f0f2backed Broncos | 15c | 113$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.05 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…ebb0backed Jets | 77c | 103.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Broncos | 24c | 102$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Broncos | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Jets | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Jets | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…63d5backed Broncos | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x994a…2399backed Broncos | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Broncos | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Broncos | 16c | 70$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 114 | 7.9%9 W · 105 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e53…5ed3backed Broncos | 23c | 69.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +210%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…24e6backed Jets | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df8…6636backed Jets | 78c | 58.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked Broncos | 22c | 55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 205 | 57.6%118 W · 87 L | +16.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ae…193fbacked Jets | 78c | 52.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6704…baa4backed Jets | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa31b…c038backed Jets | 77c | 50.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Jets | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3049…7825backed Jets | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…b599backed Broncos | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858a…b00dbacked Jets | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c43…9a57backed Broncos | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed Broncos | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa376…6fe3backed Broncos | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b3…e69cbacked Jets | 78c | 45.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Broncos | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 134 | 28.4%38 W · 96 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…dfc6backed Broncos | 26c | 40.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb564…5ce9backed Jets | 77c | 40.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…ba78backed Broncos | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…21c5backed Jets | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…3b7abacked Broncos | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…27c2backed Jets | 79c | 33.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Jets | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…3f08backed Jets | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…2035backed Jets | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9145…5e49backed Jets | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Jets | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.