Tennis · resolved market
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the US Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cfe4c0d72f97d676ad951374a8c527f28aef0e6adf682aca5f85da72d102938
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b9d…79eabacked No | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked Yes | 75c | 4,969$3,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.25 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…130dbacked Yes | 75c | 4,879$3,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked No | 69c | 3,869$2,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664.35 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…3665backed Yes | 37c | 2,715$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +171.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…c86cbacked Yes | 31c | 2,698$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 55c | 2,288$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.13 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 30c | 2,076$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.35 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,735$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.77 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed No | 68c | 1,451$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.78 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed No | 43c | 1,260$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.73 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x002e…ab83backed Yes | 76c | 1,125$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 38c | 1,125$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.52 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9481…7995backed Yes | 36c | 1,090$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 38c | 1,037$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…bff0backed Yes | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b9…f392backed Yes | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x533b…2b26backed Yes | 59c | 770.82$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 49c | 676.01$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.25 | 103 | 18.4%19 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 50c | 631.29$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.99 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc1…c249backed No | 75c | 542.97$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3341…d6f8backed Yes | 73c | 500$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed No | 25c | 475.02$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc717…88bbbacked No | 25c | 437$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…f710backed Yes | 76c | 437$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…bb41backed Yes | 56c | 433.31$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.31 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Yes | 54c | 402.51$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.79 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 35c | 352.17$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.91 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20fd…91c7backed Yes | 29c | 346.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fe…c728backed Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e00…14ecbacked Yes | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…c675backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ee…3d11backed Yes | 28c | 285.89$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5178…f7dcbacked Yes | 73c | 273.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 36c | 242.42$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.96 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54c9…396cbacked Yes | 28c | 236.7$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +76%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 69c | 219.35$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.35 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481c…73eebacked Yes | 31c | 219$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +229.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2a…cc0dbacked Yes | 76c | 215.27$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 32c | 211.04$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 33c | 184.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.03 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5697…cddfbacked Yes | 76c | 184.21$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…b987backed Yes | 38c | 181.18$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 75c | 172$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1d…fcc4backed Yes | 73c | 172$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…2ec0backed Yes | 32c | 168.75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6c…9047backed Yes | 57c | 163.86$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdff…8bd9backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 74c | 159.69$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.93 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…b063backed Yes | 30c | 155.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f69…f07ebacked Yes | 46c | 150.73$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…372dbacked Yes | 43c | 135.82$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9821backed Yes | 33c | 132.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +120%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 66c | 127.3$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 71c | 126.23$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.12 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x688e…a8f1backed No | 67c | 120$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…4f1abacked Yes | 33c | 118.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…bef8backed Yes | 49c | 117.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66dc…bcc5backed Yes | 45c | 116.29$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Yes | 73c | 110$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Yes | 73c | 108$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…1e98backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4b…1304backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000a…6df9backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x400c…c80abacked Yes | 38c | 97.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee1…b0e1backed No | 77c | 95.3$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb12c…c2b2backed Yes | 54c | 93.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb149…f445backed Yes | 28c | 91.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Yes | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…9039backed No | 29c | 89.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…df5ebacked Yes | 44c | 88.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a0…f955backed Yes | 32c | 88.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7624…84e5backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 31c | 83.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.39 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0503…db3dbacked Yes | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Yes | 37c | 82.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…d3a2backed Yes | 33c | 79.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…5a6cbacked Yes | 45c | 74.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…455fbacked Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +130.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8backed Yes | 32c | 73.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aaf…659bbacked Yes | 47c | 72.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4c…65febacked Yes | 28c | 70$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +97%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4094…2ec9backed Yes | 74c | 67.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4c…ff37backed Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…7065backed Yes | 54c | 64.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf7…6e52backed No | 28c | 62.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…918fbacked No | 68c | 61.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3f…3e07backed Yes | 54c | 61.37$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Yes | 23c | 60.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ef…8044backed Yes | 54c | 56.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2f…aa1abacked Yes | 73c | 54.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcec3…53a1backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…5444backed Yes | 42c | 51.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aryna Sabalenka win the US Open?this page
- Will Coco Gauff win the US Open?No won
- Will Danielle Rose Collins win the US Open?No won
- Will Elena Rybakina win the US Open?No won
- Will Iga Swiatek win the US Open?No won
- Will Jasmine Paolini win the US Open?No won
- Will Jessica Pegula win the US Open?No won
- Will Karolina Muchova win the US Open?No won
- Will Mirra Andreeva win the US Open?No won
- Will Naomi Osaka win the US Open?No won
- Will Qinwen Zheng win the US Open?No won
- Will another player win the US Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.