Tennis · resolved market
Will Iga Swiatek win the US Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51fb0e8fec81a0e02c74b52fdc68f5ab17ee3c3b227b279cbe70e3ecffeb8371
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x741e…2f80backed Yes | 28c | 33,835$9,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,413.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked No | 75c | 8,215$6,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.29 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Yes | 25c | 7,500$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 24c | 6,178$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.37 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87c6…89b7backed Yes | 30c | 4,635$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 79c | 4,054$3,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.49 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 19c | 3,255$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.02 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 73c | 2,642$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.29 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…c86cbacked Yes | 21c | 2,225$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 18c | 2,186$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.48 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 21c | 2,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 76c | 1,383$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.33 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 73c | 1,275$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.02 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…7a25backed Yes | 28c | 1,262$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.78 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 79c | 1,228$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.05 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 29c | 1,170$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…1a05backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 72c | 971.77$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.35 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…1e98backed No | 72c | 935.84$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a7…ced1backed Yes | 35c | 826$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 25c | 810.29$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.68 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 75c | 650$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Yes | 21c | 566.86$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.04 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 18c | 560$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20fd…91c7backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6c…9047backed Yes | 28c | 385.21$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1912…a1d1backed Yes | 24c | 365.83$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…f300backed Yes | 30c | 336.67$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Yes | 24c | 328.32$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.3 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 28c | 326.31$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.58 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…c675backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed No | 74c | 266.03$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.63 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb438…b113backed Yes | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf038…1391backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 26c | 223.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb818…bc56backed Yes | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 21c | 221$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff1…6949backed Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c9…396cbacked Yes | 19c | 198.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +76%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…af0dbacked Yes | 28c | 183.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Yes | 21c | 180.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 70c | 142.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…aa32backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…48c1backed Yes | 24c | 138.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff42…83e5backed Yes | 29c | 138.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa875…2226backed Yes | 48c | 122.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd79…714ebacked Yes | 30c | 121.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb149…f445backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e66…8cf9backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…74b3backed Yes | 29c | 117.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 21c | 107.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a24…9a92backed Yes | 29c | 105.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f69…f07ebacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…08fabacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…bff4backed Yes | 34c | 98.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8d…71e2backed Yes | 29c | 95.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7142…fbf7backed Yes | 29c | 93.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…5a6cbacked Yes | 34c | 93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…455fbacked Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +130.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9f…271fbacked Yes | 38c | 85.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee4…d6c3backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd85e…d171backed Yes | 30c | 77.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000a…6df9backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…56e0backed Yes | 29c | 73.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c28…dc8fbacked Yes | 29c | 71.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509f…8fb7backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4c…65febacked Yes | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +97%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd8…5c8dbacked Yes | 35c | 69.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a75…df66backed No | 78c | 69.27$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…7b08backed Yes | 29c | 67.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd8…f24fbacked Yes | 48c | 65.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ce…c3abbacked Yes | 27c | 64.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e5…a9f0backed Yes | 29c | 63.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…3bb7backed No | 78c | 56.08$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8c…edc0backed Yes | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9f…43b4backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9821backed No | 73c | 53.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +120%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 20c | 52.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4242…f42ebacked Yes | 38c | 52.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8e…c1febacked Yes | 45c | 51.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd452…ad10backed Yes | 35c | 50.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…1116backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5977…2136backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…9516backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…a3c7backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913d…104cbacked No | 78c | 48.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…9d41backed Yes | 37c | 44.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…a1f1backed Yes | 27c | 40.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa58…030bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…d3fdbacked Yes | 38c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165a…8b3dbacked Yes | 48c | 37.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f63…4970backed Yes | 30c | 35.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66dc…bcc5backed Yes | 35c | 33.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…c1e9backed No | 73c | 31.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iga Swiatek win the US Open?this page
- Will Aryna Sabalenka win the US Open?Yes won
- Will Coco Gauff win the US Open?No won
- Will Danielle Rose Collins win the US Open?No won
- Will Elena Rybakina win the US Open?No won
- Will Jasmine Paolini win the US Open?No won
- Will Jessica Pegula win the US Open?No won
- Will Karolina Muchova win the US Open?No won
- Will Mirra Andreeva win the US Open?No won
- Will Naomi Osaka win the US Open?No won
- Will Qinwen Zheng win the US Open?No won
- Will another player win the US Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.